Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/15083675179

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1767484800/1767571200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046555547#!/compare/1765756800/1768780800

45 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/15305375957

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053279911#!/compare/1767225600/1767312000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058356352#!/compare/1767312000/1767398400

Bulk for the Cloudy Moon Hat with No Name

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/16383886241

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198226525604#!/compare/1767052800/1767139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198441328174#!/compare/1767139200/1767225600

42 keys

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/13909834345

Listed on Mannco.Store

Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/15438081287

Listed on MPTF

Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/9522440410

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205010416#!/compare/1767571200/1771545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1767484800/1767571200

Backpack purchase

Sale 5:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3206

Sold for $98.99 on March 26 2026

Keys were $1.94 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

98.99/1.94=51.03 ~51 keys

Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/4398846131

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199207750538#!/compare/1771804800/1771891200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133087694#!/compare/1771718400/1771891200

Didn't sell on MPTF, compares doesn't show anything useful however, untrace

Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/12914480091

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049679363#!/compare/1770681600/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074149928#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800

Didn't sell on MPTF but the compare doesn't show anything useful, untrace

Sales:

42, 45, 51

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/1uCPwdC 55 keys (4 months), 58 keys (3 months), 130 keys (3 months)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3206 $98.99 (~49 keys with current key price)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Split+Malice+Taunt%3A+Kazotsky+Kick none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Kazotsky%20Kick?filter=Split+Malice https://imgur.com/ZnJowgp 149.68€ (~67 keys)

There's a current buy order at ~41.5 keys however nothing indicates that 42 is low. Not using the MPTF seller as counter-evidence to exclude 51 since it's only lower because keys have had a recent rise. Going with 42-51 keys,