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Item 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/7849959067
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1767571200/1767657600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198439884770#!/compare/1766880000/1767744000
Sold with 14.66 refs for 11 keys, still rounds up to ~11 keys
Item 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/7956318859
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1769299200/1769385600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199287261569#!/compare/1768780800/1770940800
Lotta random items were involved and the buyer also got some other items in return (painted ones, so they paid extra for it too), so therefore I can't tell for sure what was used *only* for the Bolted Bicorne itself.
Safer to go with 11 keys flat.