Sold for 2 keys + 2.33 ref (Buyer’s end, 3 ref - 2 rec)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1771804800/1771891200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150238299#!/compare/1771718400/1771891200

https://backpack.tf/item/11044197793

= 2.05 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853690889#!/compare/1771372800/1771459200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1771200000/1771545600

https://backpack.tf/item/10746488983

Untraceable, probably gambling-related

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1771200000/1771545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199550301253#!/compare/1771372800/1771459200

https://backpack.tf/item/10746488983

Untraceable, a key matches

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191081921#!/compare/1770163200/1770249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1770249600/1770336000

https://backpack.tf/item/10771826387

Backpack buy

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199885570180#!/compare/1770163200/1770681600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1770595200/1770681600

https://backpack.tf/item/11044197793

Bulk

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150238299#!/compare/1771977600/1772668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072722350#!/compare/1772409600/1772668800

https://backpack.tf/item/11044197793

SCM

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Bare%20Knuckle%20Beatdown

https://i.imgur.com/Alsv2Qh.png

https://i.imgur.com/kxgtPKI.png

2 sales around that time, can’t confirm which one it was

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032388432#!/compare/1770508800/1771027200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/item/11634704827

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020399100#!/compare/1768521600/1768780800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1768694400/1768780800

https://backpack.tf/item/15145437328

Bulk

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1769040000/1769126400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1769126400/1769212800

https://backpack.tf/item/16445175623

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1769212800/1769299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880585821#!/compare/1769212800/1769299200

https://backpack.tf/item/16445175623

Untraceable

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880585821#!/compare/1769212800/1769299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1769040000/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/item/16445175623

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1772668800/1772755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383964635#!/compare/1772496000/1772928000

https://backpack.tf/item/16445175623

Untraceable. #8-11 are likely all gambling.

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383964635#!/compare/1772496000/1772928000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146259385#!/compare/1772755200/1773100800

https://backpack.tf/item/16445175623

Bulk for Midnight Whirlwind Meet the Medic

https://backpack.tf/item/15248451840 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/10743735431 - unusualified

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31207;5;u3006

https://backpack.tf/item/11750620416

$6, Feb 6th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.85

6/1.85 = 3.243, rounds to 3.25 keys

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/Cx4JxIC.png

https://backpack.tf/item/10776331860 - ~2.7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13732338584 - ~2.75 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31207;5;u3006

https://backpack.tf/item/10771826387 - $6

https://backpack.tf/item/15662818905 - $6

https://backpack.tf/item/12328145349 - $6

Sales at:

2.05

3.25 (marketplace)

There are sellers for considerably cheaper than the marketplace sale, and the current marketplace sellers at $6 would now be a little less, with the price hike on keys. Excluding 3.25.

Taking 2.05 flat.