Sold for 3 keys + 14 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1773792000/1773878400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154979325#!/compare/1773792000/1773878400

https://backpack.tf/item/10012170781

https://i.imgur.com/qpmiLHV.png - aligns with the B/O, if there was any doubt

= 3.25 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257352830#!/compare/1767139200/1767916800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198939507139#!/compare/1756512000/1768953600

https://backpack.tf/item/13322440588

SCM, untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198939507139#!/compare/1768953600/1769126400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199196581711#!/compare/1763510400/1772236800

https://backpack.tf/item/13322440588

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029464336#!/compare/1770854400/1771200000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157804786#!/compare/1770940800/1771027200

https://backpack.tf/item/14368093920

Untraceable, probably gambled. The rest of the history isn’t much different to this.

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1774051200/1774137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154979325#!/compare/1774051200/1774137600

https://backpack.tf/item/12525482616

Untraceable. Given their B/O on the traceable sale up top, and this being the same buyer, this is most likely gonna end up being the same price.

https://backpack.tf/item/12525482616 - qsstore bots

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31155;5;u3006

https://backpack.tf/item/10118883417 - March 11th

https://backpack.tf/item/13339391365 - March 17th

https://backpack.tf/item/10012170781 - March 22nd

$9.99, March 11th, 17th, & 22nd

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.89, March 11th

$1.92, March 17th & 22nd

9.99/1.89 = 5.286, rounds to 5.3 keys

9.99/1.92 = 5.203, rounds to 5.2 keys

Sellers:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31155;5;u3006

https://backpack.tf/item/12525482616 - $9.99

Sales at:

3.25

5.2 (marketplace)

5.3 (marketplace)

3.25 may appear to be an outlier, but #4 is likely to have been the same price, which supports including 3.25.

Midpoint between proposed low and high end falls below 5 keys, so we round to the nearest .05 keys here.

Taking 3.25-5.3 keys.