resug

History #1 - https://backpack.tf/item/16674808119

Sale #1 - untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392637706#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068076517#!/compare/1770163200/1774224000

Sale #2 - 36 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392637706#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098551306#!/compare/1771372800/1771545600

Credits moose - " 36 keys @ 21/02/2026

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Smissmas%20Tree%20Hat%20Chocolate&at=2026-04-05T08:28:35.731Z

Shows as 36 keys and trade partner matches

Also the 40 keys shown on the sellers side 4 of those were to purchase the Tangled Lights Taunt: Peace Out here:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198395550757#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600

ID 16743201703 "

sale #3 - untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098551306#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538132413#!/compare/1772150400/1772668800

sale #4 - untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977721610#!/compare/1775088000/1775174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538132413#!/compare/1772668800/1772755200

History #2 - https://backpack.tf/item/12407071009

Sale #1 - gamble

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1769385600/1769472000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193041274#!/compare/1768348800/1769817600

Sale #2 - gamble? The 50 does not connect.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193041274#!/compare/1770595200/1770681600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1770595200/1771200000

Sale #3 - gamble/untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026677103#!/compare/1771113600/1771804800

Sale #4 - untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026677103#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074986660#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200

Sale #5 - untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074986660#!/compare/1774915200/1775088000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199531944#!/compare/1775001600/1775088000

Credits moose - "The other gladiator sale was between sale 4 and sale 5 of the second item.

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Smissmas%20Tree%20Hat%20Chocolate&at=2026-04-05T08:28:35.731Z

Sold for 30 keys 22.33 ref @ 03/04/2026 however there is no clear indication based on the compares nor trade partner showing the 30 keys clear"

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All credit to moose for the extra info.

"Considering the amount of dumps, and untrace I rather go with actual sales rather than base it off unsolds as this is an indication its to high anyway. 36 should be fine" - moose

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Taking 36 flat now.

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Classi - https://gyazo.com/075db2176ca028550103eaf467b024b9

Old sugg where it was a b/o drop - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6965af08d635a60f8007b3a4