Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/16485403295

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059566837#!/compare/1767744000/1768435200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198333311272#!/compare/1768348800/1768435200

30 keys + Strange pro KS Direct Hit + Strange pro KS Liberty Launcher

Direct Hit mini:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Direct%20Hit&at=2026-01-15T20:25:05.659Z

Past 30 days at the time:

Sales:

3 @ 13 keys

1 @ 12 keys

2 @ 11 keys

1 @ 10 keys 20 ref

1 @ 9 keys 40 ref

2 @ 9 keys 35 ref

1 @ 9 keys 25 ref

1 @ 8 keys 20 ref

2 @ 8 keys

1 @ 7 keys 57.22 ref

1 @ 7 keys 33.66 ref

1 @ 7 keys 26.66 ref

1 @ 7 keys 26.11 ref

1 @ 7 keys 16.33 ref

1 @ 6 keys 65.22 ref

1 @ 6 keys 64.44 ref

1 @ 7 keys 3.77 ref

1 @ 6 keys 61.22 ref

1 @ 7 keys

1 @ 6 keys 56.66 ref

1 @ 6 keys 56.11 ref

1 @ 6 keys 56 ref

1 @ 6 keys 54.77 ref

1 @ 6 keys 52.11 ref

1 @ 6 keys 52 ref

Buys:

2 @ 7 keys 33.77 ref

4 @ 7 keys 33.66 ref

2 @ 7 keys 31.22 ref

4 @ 7 keys 26.55 ref

2 @ 7 keys 25.44 ref

2 @ 7 keys 16.22 ref

2 @ 7 keys 14.77 ref

2 @ 7 keys 13.88 ref

2 @ 7 keys 13.44 ref

2 @ 7 keys 13.22 ref

2 @ 7 keys 12.55 ref

2 @ 7 keys 12.44 ref

2 @ 7 keys 3.77 ref

2 @ 6 keys 61.33 ref

2 @ 6 keys 55.33 ref

2 @ 6 keys 54.66 ref

6 @ 6 keys 54.55 ref

2 @ 6 keys 53.66 ref

2 @ 6 keys 51.88 ref

2 @ 6 keys 49.88 ref

2 @ 6 keys 44 ref

2 @ 6 keys 43.44 ref

2 @ 6 keys 43.22 ref -> 6.8 keys

Taking 6.8-8 keys (median point of 7.4) as the most common trading point, higher sales were most likely for parts or more desirable combos

Liberty launcher mini:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Liberty%20Launcher&at=2026-01-15T20:28:18.727Z

Past 30 days at the time:

Sales:

1 @ 5 keys

1 @ 4 keys

1 @ 3 keys 30 ref -> 3.55 keys

1 @ 3 keys 10 ref

1 @ 3 keys

1 @ 2 keys 33.22 ref

1 @ 2 keys 30.44 ref

1 @ 2 keys 18.55 ref

Buys:

2 @ 2 keys 40.44 ref

2 @ 2 keys 38.66 ref

2 @ 2 keys 38.55 ref

6 @ 2 keys 37.66 ref

2 @ 2 keys 36.77 ref

2 @ 2 keys 35.44 ref

2 @ 2 keys 35.11 ref

2 @ 2 keys 31.22 ref

2 @ 2 keys 30.44 ref

4 @ 2 keys 28.33 ref

2 @ 2 keys 28.22 ref

4 @ 2 keys 26.11 ref

2 @ 2 keys 22.55 ref -> 2.41 keys

4 and 5 are volume/distance outliers, going with 2.41-3.55 keys (mean point of 2.98)

30+7.4+2.98=40.38 ~40 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/12582656050

Listed on Mannco.Store

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/16524567743

Listed on MPTF

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/16289449398

Sale 2:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31320;5;u3216

Sold for $129.99 on March 16 2026

Keys were $1.9 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

129.99/1.9=68.41 ~68 keys

Sales:

40, 68

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/nhnuqDv none

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31320;5;u3216 $129.99 (~65 keys with current key price)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Burning+Sensation+Taunt%3A+Russian+Rubdown none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Russian%20Rubdown?filter=Burning+Sensation https://imgur.com/z4xy50n none

Current MPTF sellers are only lower than 68 because of the rise in key prices, taking a full 40-68 keys