Suggestion: Disco Beat Down Calamitous Cauldron at 12–18 keys

Price Suggestion

dbd

You need to sign in to comment on this suggestion.

Comments

I bought this hat for 11K 27 ref / 1.81 $ on STN and sold for 24.99 $ in Manco

sale proof: https://postimg.cc/LqqJ9x0j

bought by: unknown re-seller

item : https://backpack.tf/item/9470712047

-------------------------------------------------

Manco key = 1.86 $ per

Manco Sales : https://mannco.store/item/440-disco-beat-down-unusual-calamitous-cauldron

1- mine sold for : 24.99 $ / 1.86 $

2- another sold for 24.24 $ / 1.86 $

-------------------------------------------------

mptf key = 1.98 $ per

MPTF sales : https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31146;5;u62

1- one sold for 23.99 $ / 1.98 $

2- one sold for 26.99 $ / 1.98 $

3- one sold for 27.99 $ / 1.98 $

4- latest sale 29.99 $ / 1.98 $

5- two sold for 31.99 $ / 1.98 $

my Suggestion is based on the current market sales: 12k - 16k

note: the item could reach 17k or 18k (max value) but the key prices are at an all time high ( key prices were noted in 4/18/2026 5:59 am GMT+3 )

mannco sales are not valid,

most of the mptf sales are too old,

you're not using the key price from the time of the sale for the one mptf sale that is recent enough,

"the item could reach 17k or 18k (max value)..." -> you cannot speculate a higher value with no proof

* Mannco sales are not valid ,

- Thanks for the feedback, but I have to remind you this is a Suggestion, the item has only 10 of its kind so the Suggestion is based on my own sale and past sales on multiple market places and I considerd Manco and MPTF sales and that the hat it self can be bought from dump pricese 7k 28 ref - 10k and I bought it for 11.27k in STN and the hat proven to re-sell for 13k ( my own sale on current market) meaning it can be sold for 12k -16k and the sales on mp.tf shows that even if they are old sales.

proof of my purchase ( Forgot to add to the main Suggestion): https://postimg.cc/qtHqC9ww

- ok lets start with the first point: Mannco sales are not valid?

I kinda understand the skepticism regarding Mannco.store, but the sale I’m referring to is the most recent recorded sale for this item. and I have provided the direct proof of the sale to verify it wasn't a "dump", and must ask, why isn't it valid?.

- secondly: I hear your point on historical key prices and you are right, but Even when converting based on the key values at the time of the MPTF sales, the result still supports a floor of 12k. The 12k–16k range reflects that the current market reality where buyers are paying a solid premium for low-supply item.

- thirdly: The 17k–18k mention in the notes was intended as a comment on market volatility and key-to-dollar ratios, not as a basis for the suggestion itself. The final range (12k–16k) is based strictly on the sales data provided. ( next time I will elaborate more in NOTES).

- forth: " old sales" For an item with only 10 in existence, older sales are necessary to establish a trend. My recent re-sale at 13k, proves that the value has remained stable despite the age of the MPTF data.

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/

Thanks for providing the link to my attention, based on the link ( rules) I understand your points on the older sales and the speculation. I'll simplify the suggestion to reflect only the most recent, my own verified data:

~ Sale 1 Low end: 11 keys ( purchase ) (based on my purchase from STN for 11.27, rounded per the rules).

~ Sale 2 High end: 13 keys ( sold) (based on my verified sale on Mannco.store).

This range (11–13) is bounded by recent sales, avoids speculation on future and past key prices, and follows the rounding requirements for items over 10 keys. Since it's a 1-of-10 item with limited recent history, these two sales provide the most accurate current window.

I’ve updated my reasoning based on the feedback and the official rules. I’m requesting the range be set to the following based on the most recent verified data:

Low end: 11 keys (Based on my purchase from STN for 11.27, rounded per rules).

High end: 13 keys (Based on my verified sale on Mannco.store).

This is my final range, and I am locking it at 11k–13k as it is strictly bounded by recent transactions. I have avoided all speculation on past or future pricing and converted the Mannco cash sale using the site’s key price at the time of sale for accuracy. For a 1-of-10 item, these two sales provide the most accurate and verified market window available.

Proof Recap:

Sale 1 (Purchase): 11.27 keys (Rounds to 11) - [ https://postimg.cc/21m04rJy ]

Sale 2 (Sale): Mannco.store sale (~13 keys via site key price) - [ https://postimg.cc/LqqJ9x0j ]

Requesting a moderator to update the suggestion at this range.