Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/13310078175

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099031605#!/compare/1775779200/1775865600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087230592#!/compare/1775865600/1776124800

19 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/3957198944

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998568601#!/compare/1770768000/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800

Dumped to a bot, 50.11 ref matches

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199821951033#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

12 keys match

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199821951033#!/compare/1771977600/1772236800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1771977600/1772064000

Dumped to STN alongside the Midnight Whirlwind Schadenfreude, untrace

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1772668800/1772755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1772668800/1772755200

16 keys then listed on MPTF

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/8949868291

Sale 6:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3114

Sold for $39.99 on Feb 20 2026

Keys were $1.88 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

39.99/1.88=21.27 ~21 keys

Sales:

12, 16, 19, 21

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/rCWrf4W none

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3114 $39.9 (~20 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Solar+Scorched+Taunt%3A+Kazotsky+Kick none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Kazotsky%20Kick?filter=Solar+Scorched https://imgur.com/PJRu22Q none

12 is definitely know given buyers are much higher and it's likely that it wasn't even the full sale. I think including 21 will be fine given that the only reason why the current MPTF seller is lower in keys is because of the rise in MPTF key prices.

Going with 16-21 keys