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Sale #1
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31591;5;u405
https://backpack.tf/item/16497081007
mp.tf sale on 2/15/26
$37.99 / $1.90 = 19.99
Rounding to 20
Sale #2
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31591;5;u405
https://backpack.tf/item/16487209431
mp.tf sale on 4/14/26
$29.39 / $1.95 = 15.07
Rounding to 15
Sale #3
https://backpack.tf/item/16957801517
3 ref traced
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199783696781#!/compare/1777334400/1777507200
Sale #4
https://backpack.tf/item/16954744014
1.55 ref traced
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199783696781#!/compare/1777334400/1777507200
Sale #5
https://backpack.tf/item/16910070352
8 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198737648442#!/compare/1778025600/1778284800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303807266#!/compare/1778198400/1778284800
Sale #6
https://backpack.tf/item/16893651633
7 keys 15.77 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198816616049#!/compare/1775433600/1776038400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071986392#!/compare/1775606400/1775692800
Rounding to 7.5
Sale #7
https://backpack.tf/item/16878190747
10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241540990#!/compare/1775001600/1775088000 (ID: 16878366504)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1775001600/1775088000
Sale #8
https://backpack.tf/item/16878190747
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1775088000/1775174400
Sale #9
https://backpack.tf/item/16852131164
9 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169169888#!/compare/1775779200/1776038400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072577023#!/compare/1774828800/1776643200
Sale #10
https://backpack.tf/item/16831383934
10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273086696#!/compare/1775088000/1775174400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303807266#!/compare/1775001600/1775088000
Sale #11
https://backpack.tf/item/16786981059
bulk sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182185979#!/compare/1774310400/1774396800
Sale #12
https://backpack.tf/item/16786981059
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095381721#!/compare/1774396800/1774483200
Sale #13
https://backpack.tf/item/16768474339
a bunch of kits and fabs?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337542512#!/compare/1776643200/1776729600
Sale #14
https://backpack.tf/item/16746685002
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199660271909#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200
Sale #15
https://backpack.tf/item/16746685002
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115209418#!/compare/1772409600/1772496000
Sale #16
https://backpack.tf/item/16746685002
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197989561240#!/compare/1773100800/1774742400
Sale #17
https://backpack.tf/item/16705936531
10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1776211200/1776297600
Sale #18
https://backpack.tf/item/16705936531
10 keys 6.88 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1777075200/1777248000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019158511#!/compare/1776643200/1777248000
Rounding to 10
Sale #19
https://backpack.tf/item/16705936531
8 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019158511#!/compare/1778025600/1778198400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303807266#!/compare/1777939200/1778025600
Sale #20 & Sale #21
https://backpack.tf/item/16679421319
https://backpack.tf/item/16634768741
13 keys (for 2 of them)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1772841600/1772928000 (ID: 16792382035)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096260332#!/compare/1772841600/1772928000
6.5
Sale #22
https://backpack.tf/item/16625576626
Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135094300#!/compare/1771718400/1772064000
Sale #23
https://backpack.tf/item/16625576626
12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1771891200/1771977600 (ID: 16760268856)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096260332#!/compare/1771891200/1771977600
Sale #24
https://backpack.tf/item/16570621797
11 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1777075200/1777161600 (ID: 16968517518)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199123564375#!/compare/1776556800/1777161600
Sale #25
https://backpack.tf/item/16507254913
bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096260332#!/compare/1773100800/1773187200
Sale #26
https://backpack.tf/item/16498924560
9 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083798918#!/compare/1775260800/1775952000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564308100#!/compare/1727827200/1776729600
Sale #27
https://backpack.tf/item/16495487536
Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071082937#!/compare/1773273600/1773360000
Sale #28
https://backpack.tf/item/16495487536
11 keys 1.33 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1773532800/1773619200 (ID: 16820962411)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198435329493#!/compare/1773532800/1773619200
Rounding to 11
Sale #29
https://backpack.tf/item/16495487536
11 keys 1 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198435329493#!/compare/1773619200/1773705600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1773532800/1773619200
Rounding to 11
Sale #30
https://backpack.tf/item/16495487536
12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1776038400/1776124800 (ID: 16927069593)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199030904270#!/compare/1775952000/1776211200
Sale #31
https://backpack.tf/item/16491143053
Slop
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198984454963#!/compare/1773360000/1778371200
Sale #32
https://backpack.tf/item/16487880139
Sparkling Lights Missing Piece + 3 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1773705600/1773792000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192186638#!/compare/1773446400/1773792000
Use there
Sale #33
https://backpack.tf/item/16487209431
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199123541527#!/compare/1777161600/1777852800
Current sellers:
$29.10 on mp.tf (4x)
$37.39 on mp.tf
$19.98 on SCM
$20.03 on SCM
$31.54 on SCM
$32.98 on SCM
$45.40 on SCM
$58.88 on SCM
$69.00 on SCM
$230.00 on SCM
$1759.99 on SCM
10.82 keys on bp.tf (2x)
11 keys on bp.tf
12 keys on bp.tf (3x)
24 keys on bp.tf
Sales: 20, 15, 3 ref, 1.55 ref, 8, 7.5, 10, 9, 10, 10, 10, 8, 6.5, 6.5, 12, 11, 9, 11, 11, 12
Final price: 8 - 10
There's an unsold at 7.7 Keys currently. Although it isn't super strong evidence, you do have a sale at 7.5 Keys, so there's no harm in going 7.5-10 here to account for it.
If possible could I ask you to reconsider? I don't mind resuggesting, but that current sold is just 1 lone seller & his listing is very poorly bumped as is. Additionally, this has sold for $23.78 on SCM in the time since this was suggested. Considering how many higher end sales are already ignored, I think it would be fair to ignore the single low seller given all this context. If you disagree ill resuggest as instructed
That's a fair point, you have been excluding far too many high sales. You should be including those also to capture a wider range of sales.
Even if the seller is poorly bumped, it's poor fashion to outright ignore it completely when you already have a way to work around it. But having said this, 7.5-11 will likely be more appropriate than my initial 7.5-10 idea.