Sale 1:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154197931#!/compare/1773878400/1773964800 - Near ID: 16831088509

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1773878400/1773964800

https://backpack.tf/item/10919529477

Most likely had some in return, but I don’t see any evidence of that. Calling it at 2 keys here.

= 2 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 1 key + 47 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326574438#!/compare/1775779200/1775952000 - Near ID: 16912049735

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199088494686#!/compare/1775779200/1775865600

https://backpack.tf/item/10781117380

= 1.85 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31201;5;u3007

https://backpack.tf/item/10815311945

$5.89, April 16th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $2

5.89/2 = 2.945, rounds to 2.95 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1775779200/1775865600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271785755#!/compare/1775865600/1775952000

https://backpack.tf/item/10751753857

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271785755#!/compare/1775865600/1775952000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1775865600/1775952000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Skill%20Gotten%20Gains%20Taunt:%20The%20Drunken%20Sailor - labelled as 1 key + 48 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/10751753857

Untraceable

#3

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115183127#!/compare/1773187200/1773273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199874395990#!/compare/1773273600/1773273600 - no good compare

https://backpack.tf/item/10784152962

Most likely scammed

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199874395990#!/compare/1773273600/1773273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1773273600/1773360000

https://backpack.tf/item/10784152962

Fenced in bulk to qsstore

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1773273600/1773360000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282372085#!/compare/1773273600/1773360000

https://backpack.tf/item/10784152962

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357746667#!/compare/1771286400/1771372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184249251#!/compare/1745020800/1771372800

https://backpack.tf/item/12014963277

Traded to alt or something

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184249251#!/compare/1775865600/1777334400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198930230576#!/compare/1776729600/1777334400

https://backpack.tf/item/12014963277

Continuation of #6

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199200197918#!/compare/1775779200/1776124800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119205155#!/compare/1775692800/1775952000

https://backpack.tf/item/13878419390

Untraceable, probably gambled. Rest of the history is also gambling-related, or otherwise unhelpful.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1773360000/1773446400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962293915#!/compare/1774224000/1776038400

https://backpack.tf/item/16458953025

Untraceable, missing info in history. Rest of the history is gambling-related.

https://backpack.tf/item/15135748353 - mannco/marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/11073849554 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/16487630788 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/12884079888 - all gambled

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/kGWdvAw.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13878419390 - ~2.9 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/10919529477 - 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13384503766 - ~3.55 keys

2 buy orders at ~1.88 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31201;5;u3007

https://backpack.tf/item/10751753857 - $5.89

https://backpack.tf/item/11076263617 - $5.89

https://backpack.tf/item/15248445081 - $5.89

https://backpack.tf/item/15431690727 - $5.89

https://backpack.tf/item/11042746037 - $5.89

Sales at:

1.85

2

2.95

With a bit of support for 1.85 in the untraceable sales with #2, including 1.85 here may be ideal. Keeping 1.85 in the range.

Taking 1.85-2.95 keys.