Sale 1:

Sold for 2 keys (buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1774828800/1774915200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071986392#!/compare/1774828800/1774915200

https://backpack.tf/item/15248444314

The buyer bought the other 3 unusuals from marketplace.

= 2 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with 12.77 ref (~.25) for 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1774656000/1774742400 - Near ID: 16865375207

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110714642#!/compare/1774569600/1774742400

https://backpack.tf/item/9563959967

The unusual that appears with the keys on the seller’s end wasn’t involved. Was from a different trade that occurred at the same time.

1.75 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31161;5;u3007

https://backpack.tf/item/14047579369 - March 13th

https://backpack.tf/item/9545991599 - March 21st

https://backpack.tf/item/9563959967 - Most likely April 29th

https://backpack.tf/item/13200976795 - May 6th

Couldn’t find March 27th’s history.

$4.75, March 13th, 21st, 27th, April 29th, & May 6th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.90, March 13th

$1.92, March 21st

$1.94, March 27th

$1.97, April 29th

$1.99, May 6th

4.75/1.9 = 2.5

4.75/1.92 = 2.474, rounds to 2.45 keys

4.75/1.94 = 2.448, rounds to 2.45 keys

4.75/1.97 = 2.411, rounds to 2.4 keys

4.75/1.99 = 2.387, rounds to 2.4 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/item/9563959967

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110714642#!/compare/1775001600/1775174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516275816#!/compare/1771804800/1775260800

https://backpack.tf/item/9563959967

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516275816#!/compare/1771804800/1775260800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1775088000/1775174400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Skill%20Gotten%20Gains%20Taunt:%20Spin-to-Win&at=2026-05-19T12:08:07.130Z - labelled as 1 key + 45 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/9563959967

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198903545258#!/compare/1776643200/1776729600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199876203440#!/compare/1776729600/1776729600 - no good compare

https://backpack.tf/item/11027167438 - untraceable, probably an alt. Unusualified by seller

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198438853133#!/compare/1774310400/1779148800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198784502492#!/compare/1775520000/1775606400

https://backpack.tf/item/11147590955

Most likely scammed. Unusualified by seller.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199862444610#!/compare/1776384000/1776470400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1776297600/1776384000

https://backpack.tf/item/16548729078

Bulk for Smoking Pure Tin Capotain

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389327569#!/compare/1774224000/1774310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1774224000/1774310400

https://backpack.tf/item/15248444314

Untraceable, unusualified by unscanned account after the seller sold it, dumped to bot instantly afterwards.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071986392#!/compare/1775865600/1775952000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697394581#!/compare/1775865600/1775952000

https://backpack.tf/item/15248444314

Untraceable bot dump, follows the key purchase.

https://backpack.tf/item/9539531343 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/9548701437 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/9642265841 - qsstore bots

https://backpack.tf/item/13956360317 - qsstore bots

https://backpack.tf/item/15248444230 - qsstore bots

https://backpack.tf/item/16488354978 - mannco/tf2mart

https://backpack.tf/item/11034702478 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/12503769622 - bot/alt

https://backpack.tf/item/9633744140 - unusualified after “Shaman Farm Bot”, gambled or otherwise unusable onwards.

https://backpack.tf/item/11001384703 - unusualified

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/rx04EH9.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15225736071 - ~2.35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11001384703 - ~2.35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9596995423 - ~2.35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12064082145 - ~2.55 keys

Sales at:

1.75

2 (invalid)

2.4 (2x, marketplace)

2.45 (2x, marketplace)

2.5 (marketplace)

We have a handful of bot dumps (#1, 3, 7 & 8) that support 1.75 being included in the range.

Decent amount of marketplace sales at ~2.4+ keys to justify keeping them in the range despite sellers.

Taking 1.75-2.5 keys.