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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/2381260600
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088878793#!/compare/1772496000/1772582400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199142817642#!/compare/1772496000/1772582400
Sold with a Strange Professional Killstreak Shooting Star (61) Burning Flames Bootleg Base Metal Billycock (33) + Sunbeams Roaming Roman (36) + Circling TF Logo Human Cannonball (15.5) + Circling Heart Towering Pillar of Hats (19.5) + Green Energy Old Guadalajara (38) + Sunbeams Twisted Topper (39) + Ghosts of Smissmas Time Dapper Noel (18.5) + Scorching Flames Shooter's Tin Topi (40) + Sunbeams Toy Soldier (42) + Scorching Flames Balkans Brute (51) + Burning Flames Shooter's Tin Topi (38) + Sunbeams Mannhattan Protect (29) + Sunbeams Crimbo Cap (21) + Burning Flames Airdog (34) + Blizzardy Storm Alakablamicon (32) + Rare Shine Tropical Brim (26) + Circling TF Logo Vive la France (17) + Stormy Storm Merc's Mohawk (22.5) + Green Energy Powdered Practitioner (27.5) + 2xStrange Goalkeeper (3)
61 + 33 + 36 + 15.5 + 19.5 + 38 + 39 + 18.5 + 40 + 42 + 51 + 38 + 29 + 21 + 34 + 32 + 26 + 17 + 22.5 + 27.5 + 3
= 643.5 - 61
Total = 582.5
Rounding down to 580 keys
https://imgur.com/a/x6PgOXs - B/O 600 (Credits Jarool)
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Minis
Strange Professional Killstreak Shooting Star - 61
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Shooting%20Star&at=2026-05-20T09:19:06.201Z
Sold in the past 30 days:
1 @ 63 keys 16.66 ref
1 @ 61 keys 48.33 ref
1 @ 60 keys 32.88 ref
Bought in the past 30 days
2 @ 61 keys 22.88 ref
6 @ 61 keys 22.11 ref
6 @ 61 keys 22 ref
2 @ 61 keys 20.55 ref
4 @ 60 keys 53.33 ref
2 @ 60 keys 42.33 ref
2 @ 60 keys 38.44 ref
2 @ 60 keys 38.33 ref
2 @ 60 keys 38.11 ref
2 @ 60 keys 32.88 ref
4 @ 60 keys 32.22 ref
2 @ 60 keys 17.66 ref
Sales closer to 61 keys, going with - 61
Burning Flames Bootleg Base Metal Billycock
https://imgur.com/a/FpWNDnt - No valid sales, using buyers - 33
Sunbeams Roaming Roman
https://imgur.com/a/SJTBenY- No valid sales, using buyers - 36
Circling TF Logo Human Cannonball
https://imgur.com/a/oLbXK66 - No valid sales, using buyers - 15.5
Circling Heart Towering Pillar of Hats
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6a0d7befbdee6b12ef031365 - 38
Green Energy Old Guadalajara
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6a0d78c4a3ca888a330db44d - 19.5
Sunbeams Twisted Topper
https://imgur.com/a/XooqwI7 - There is valid sales but they are majority bot dumps (including a purchase at 43 and re-dumped 4 days later), using buyers - 39
Ghosts of Smissmas Time Dapper Noel
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Ghosts%20of%20Smissmas%20Time%20Dapper%20Noel&at=2026-05-20T09:29:25.780Z
22 keys @ 17/03/2026
15 keys 50.77 ref @ 13/04/2026
Average of 18.5 (below sellers). A few keys difference between buyers won't matter here. - 18.5
Scorching Flames Shooter's Tin Topi
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6983a44c898035048b06110d - 40
Sunbeams Toy Soldier
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69d51bfa8695bdc3f70df2ac - (was closed but still a valid sale at 42, the rest were bot redumps which were around 40 anyway) - 42
Scorching Flames Balkans Brute
https://backpack.tf/item/15616919659
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1777507200/1777593600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198815839138#!/compare/1777593600/1777852800
Sold with 22.77 ref for 52 keys (ID 16983282552)
Though buyer is now selling for 51 keys, going with 51 instead - 51
Burning Flames Shooter's Tin Topi
https://imgur.com/a/RxTPW4k - Valid sales however they are pretty much all bot dumps, going with buyers - 38
Sunbeams Mannhattan Protect
https://imgur.com/a/RhURA1R - Only bot dump, using buyers - 29
Sunbeams Crimbo Cap
https://imgur.com/a/SzRKim4 - Only bot dumps, using buyers - 21
Burning Flames Airdog
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/696cb2f21b7d4d9e6c0d92dc Technically in date however there is sellers for less.
https://imgur.com/a/RX77hXk - Majority of the more recent sales are just bot dumps, using buyers - 34
Blizzardy Storm Alakablamicon
https://imgur.com/a/kWTlo92 - Majority of sales bot dumps, using buyers - 32
Rare Shine Tropical Brim
https://imgur.com/a/6Iinqdk - Only bot dumps, using buyers - 26
Circling TF Logo Vive la France
https://imgur.com/a/G1V2sm2 - Buyer dumped it to a bot. Plus a decent amount of sales were dumps, using buyers - 17
Stormy Storm Merc's Mohawk
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69d097bbd8384812370e3609 - In date - 22.5
Green Energy Powdered Practitioner
https://imgur.com/a/JNapJ4R - There is a valid sale at 36 but buyer is selling it for 30, going to just use buyers though as its only ~2.5 keys less - 27.5
Strange Goalkeeper
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6a00a6ccc3877ec31508c762 - In date, rounding to 1.5 for each - 3
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/754405425 - Double Spelled
Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/616348627
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1778544000/1778630400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026037217#!/compare/1778544000/1778630400
Bulk
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1778976000/1779062400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026037217#!/compare/1778976000/1779062400
Bulk
//
Sellers:
BPTF - https://imgur.com/a/2iVHaPt - 3 @ 600, 1 @ 2000 (Double spelled)
MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/316;5;u30 - None
STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Blizzardy+Storm+Pyromancer%27s+Mask - None
SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Pyromancer%27s%20Mask?appid=440&q=Blizzardy%2520Storm - None
Sale(s):
580
Going with 580 keys flat
Have you checked the bot dumps? Sure, they're bot dumps. But it's also likely that those bot dumps were sales that are higher than the current buyers.
Given how many minis you disregarded as just being bot dumps, it's likely that this could round to 590 instead.
If all the bot dumps were for at least a key higher than the current buyers, this would come up to ~596.5. Ignoring dumps and using buyers for a couple of items is fine, but 14 of them is definitely a bit much.
Sorry, I should have back to this but something came up. But I was thinking after I posted it this is more then likely to cap at 600 considering the amount of buyers were used. I did check a good chunk of the sales some of which were lower some were higher or untrace. I think I kept the working somewhere, I will post it for each
https://imgur.com/a/njKoTzK - Credits Febby
Was missing an unusual and in my calculation I actually counted the shooting star in the price zzzz
-61+33+36+15.5+18+38+39+19+40+42+51+38+29+22+41+41+32+30+23+18+27.5+3
=575
Minis
Strange Professional Killstreak Shooting Star
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Shooting%20Star&at=2026-05-20T09:19:06.201Z
Sold in the past 30 days:
1 @ 63 keys 16.66 ref
1 @ 61 keys 48.33 ref
1 @ 60 keys 32.88 ref
Bought in the past 30 days
2 @ 61 keys 22.88 ref
6 @ 61 keys 22.11 ref
6 @ 61 keys 22 ref
2 @ 61 keys 20.55 ref
4 @ 60 keys 53.33 ref
2 @ 60 keys 42.33 ref
2 @ 60 keys 38.44 ref
2 @ 60 keys 38.33 ref
2 @ 60 keys 38.11 ref
2 @ 60 keys 32.88 ref
4 @ 60 keys 32.22 ref
2 @ 60 keys 17.66 ref
Sales closer to 61 keys, going with - 61 - No change
Burning Flames Bootleg Base Metal Billycock
https://imgur.com/a/FpWNDnt - No valid sales, using buyers - 33 - NO CHANGE
Sunbeams Roaming Roman
https://imgur.com/a/SJTBenY- No valid sales, using buyers - 36 - NO CHANGE
Circling TF Logo Human Cannonball
https://imgur.com/a/oLbXK66 - No valid sales, using buyers - 15.5 - NO CHANGE
Circling Heart Towering Pillar of Hats
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6a0d7befbdee6b12ef031365 - Seller dropped to ~18, 2 higher sales at 19 - 20 though. Going conservative for 18 CHANGE
Green Energy Old Guadalajara
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6a0d78c4a3ca888a330db44d - 38 - NO CHANGE
Sunbeams Twisted Topper
https://imgur.com/a/XooqwI7 - There is valid sales but they are majority bot dumps (including a purchase at 43 and re-dumped 4 days later), using buyers - 39 No change
Ghosts of Smissmas Time Dapper Noel
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Ghosts%20of%20Smissmas%20Time%20Dapper%20Noel&at=2026-05-20T09:29:25.780Z
22 keys @ 17/03/2026
15 keys 50.77 ref @ 13/04/2026
Average ~19 - No change
Scorching Flames Shooter's Tin Topi
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6983a44c898035048b06110d - 40 - No change
Sunbeams Toy Soldier
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69d51bfa8695bdc3f70df2ac - (was closed but still a valid sale at 42, the rest were bot redumps which were around 40 anyway) - 42 - No change
Scorching Flames Balkans Brute
https://backpack.tf/item/15616919659
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1777507200/1777593600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198815839138#!/compare/1777593600/1777852800
Sold with 22.77 ref for 52 keys (ID 16983282552)
Though buyer is now selling for 51 keys, going with 51 instead - 51 - No change
Burning Flames Shooter's Tin Topi
https://imgur.com/a/RxTPW4k - Valid sales however they are pretty much all bot dumps, going with buyers
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Burning%20Flames%20Shooter%27s%20Tin%20Topi&at=2026-05-24T08:24:05.629Z
https://backpack.tf/item/14098040457
33 keys 26.44 ref @ 17/03/2026 - None of the compares show anything, it looks like it was just gambled, dumped and bought quickly.
The owner who traded it sold it same day and then they dumped it to STN for ? (https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Burning+Flames+Shooter%27s+Tin+Topi) - Says they are buying at 38~ which matches current buyers. 38 - No change
Sunbeams Mannhattan Protect
https://imgur.com/a/RhURA1R - Has an untrance bot dump to STN (https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Sunbeams+Mannhattan+Protect) buying for ~28 which is lower then current buyers some of which have been buying at 29 for over a month - 29 - No change
Sunbeams Crimbo Cap
https://backpack.tf/item/15519368300
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317568239#!/compare/1771545600/1776729600 - All keys match sellers
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072632479#!/compare/1771545600/1776729600
Dumped for 22 keys and 1.11 ref. - 22 keys - Change
Burning Flames Airdog
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/696cb2f21b7d4d9e6c0d92dc Technically in date however there is sellers for less.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697394581#!/compare/1778630400/1778716800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116184902#!/compare/1777161600/1778716800
Sold for 26 keys + Cuban Smoke Airdog (conservatively using buyers for this at ~18)
= 44
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30767;5;u13
Sold for $90 on the 9th of May and $85.57 on the 14th
Keys were $1.99 on the 9th = 45
Keys were $1.98 on the 14th = 43
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Burning%20Flames%20Airdog&at=2026-05-24T08:41:23.923Z
All dumps
39 keys 2.66 ref @ 17/04/2026
39 keys 2 ref @ 16/04/2026
38 keys 45.88 ref @ 10/04/2026 - Rounding up to 39
40 keys 19.88 ref @ 08/04/2026 - Rounding down to 40
40 keys 19.88 ref @ 07/04/2026 - Rounding down to 40
Sale(s)
44, 45, 43, 39, 39, 39, 40, 40
Average - 41~ - Change
Nightmarish Storm Ludicrously Lunatic Lunon Fedora --- NEW
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Nightmarish%20Storm%20Ludicrously%20Lunatic%20Lunon%20Fedora&at=2026-05-24T09:38:00.189Z
Sold
40 keys @ 21/05/2026
Bought
41 keys 38 ref @ 30/04/2026
41 keys 26 ref @ 24/04/2026
~41 keys, though new sellers @39. Just going with 40 flat for ease. Change
Blizzardy Storm Alakablamicon
https://backpack.tf/item/10960525274
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199641374980#!/compare/1778284800/1778371200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132397846#!/compare/1778284800/1778457600
Dumped for ~29 keys pure, though was bought same day and then dumped to a QS bot same day.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353373971#!/compare/1778284800/1778544000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1778198400/1778284800
23 keys seem to match as they dumped the Haunted Ghosts Federal Casemaker and the QS bots history matches 23 keys. (17010672781) This doesn't seem right though
https://imgur.com/a/kWTlo92 - No real valid sales that are lower then buyers, going with 32 which matches what STN is buying it for (https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Blizzardy+Storm+Alakablamicon) since owner sold it and then they dumped it to stn same day - 32 - No change
Rare Shine Tropical Brim
https://backpack.tf/item/14740663404 - Only this STN dump which is untrace.
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31456;5;u341 - There was a sale @ $63 on the 18th of FEB which is roughly (using keys at $1.88)
= 33.5 (rounding up to 34)
https://imgur.com/a/6Iinqdk - 26 buyers
Using the average between buyers and the higher sale
Average = 30 - Change
Circling TF Logo Vive la France
https://imgur.com/a/G1V2sm2 - Buyer dumped it to a bot
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20TF%20Logo%20Vive%20la%20France&at=2026-05-24T08:58:35.074Z
18 keys 11.55 ref @ 24/04/2026
18 keys 11.55 ref @ 24/04/2026
18 keys 11.33 ref @ 24/04/2026
17 keys 14 ref @ 22/03/2026
Average is ~18 keys - Change
Stormy Storm Merc's Mohawk
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69d097bbd8384812370e3609 - In date - 23
Green Energy Powdered Practitioner
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30069;5;u9
Sold for $65 on the 20th of May
Keys were ~$1.95
= 33
https://backpack.tf/item/16822727386
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1776729600/1776816000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198963733653#!/compare/1776643200/1776729600
Sold for 37 keys pure (ID 16949988494)
Though unsolds at 30 for over a month (this is also seller).
https://imgur.com/a/JNapJ4R - Just going with buyers as they are only at 27.5No change
Strange Goalkeeper
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6a00a6ccc3877ec31508c762 - In date, rounding to 1.5 for each - 3 no change
I did neater rounding, very conservative especially the 3 first unusuals with no valid sales. Though I do think with valid sales for those 3 could push it closer to 600 I still think 580 works based on the the sales present.
For the Billycock, this sale would've been fine to use as a mini since it's within the 4 month range:
Sold for 37 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093518222#!/compare/1769904000/1770163200
After checking the Roman myself, it does have a new (and valid) sale as well:
Sold for $85 on Marketplace (~44 Keys using 1.93)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31198;5;u17
https://backpack.tf/item/10699983934
The TF Logo Human Cannonball has some sales:
Sold for 15 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1769817600/1769904000
Sold for 15 Keys + 30 Ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802991149#!/compare/1777593600/1779062400 Seems this sale was under a trade hold.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100906514#!/compare/1777766400/1779062400
https://backpack.tf/item/10336895285
Doesn't change anything for the Cannonball mini, though. BUT, it can be updated with the 15 Key + 30 ref sale alone since it rounds up to 16 (the 15 sale would be out of date for a proper suggestion).
Altogether, this will come up to 587, which would round to 590. So I think that'll be fine to use.