Sale 1:

Sold to STN for 3 keys + 14.33 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1779580800/1779667200 - Near ID: 17071285908

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1779580800/1779667200

https://backpack.tf/item/15111712573

= 3.25 keys

Sale 2:

Undoubtedly sold to a bot for 3 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198958276486#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200

https://backpack.tf/item/14767994891

= 3 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31349;5;u3183

https://backpack.tf/item/14881729456

$6.99, May 11th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.98

6.99/1.98 = 3.53, rounds to 3.55 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064060046#!/compare/1773446400/1773532800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199467508789#!/compare/1773532800/1773619200

https://backpack.tf/item/13797796785

Most likely gambled. Given the familiar names in the item’s history, should be safe to assume the rest of the history is gambling-related.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198958276486#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200

https://backpack.tf/item/14767994891

Untraceable, flipped to a bot afterwards.

https://backpack.tf/item/13494853957 - qsstore

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/aTUFbeC.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13554371544 - “3.5 keys”, notes don’t specify a metal value, which makes the listing price subjective.

https://backpack.tf/item/13494853957 - ~3.7 keys

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Heavy+Rain+Taunt%3A+The+Head+Doctor

https://i.imgur.com/o0Z4mPr.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15111712573 - 3 keys + 52.33 ref

Sales at:

3

3.25

3.55

3 may seem low with 2 buyers at ~3 keys currently, but the 3.25 key purchase follows an unknown potential buy order purchase (item was acquired the same day it was dumped to STN) that was most likely a bit lower. Unusable sale #2 was also most likely a little less than 3 keys given it was flipped to a bot for 3 keys immediately afterwards. Keeping 3 in the range.

Taking 3-3.55 keys.