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Resubmitting because I forgot to consider the unsold at 28 keys.
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/14417089458
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1780272000/1780272000/nearest
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007486115#!/compare/1780272000/1780272000/nearest
https://ibb.co/Z1z0sQPk
24 keys 36.33 ref
25
Sale 2
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30753;5;u33
$59.99
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - $1.93/key
~31.08 keys
31
Item 2
ItemID link untrace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30753;5;u33
$55.00
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - $1.98/key
~27.77 keys
28
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/4708014508
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198778430260#!/compare/1773014400/1774656000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199874751458#!/compare/1773014400/1773187200
Untrace
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199874751458#!/compare/1773014400/1773187200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084282838#!/compare/1772841600/1773273600
Untrace
Item 4
https://backpack.tf/item/16826150973
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1780272000/1780358400
Last seen listed for 28 keys (https://ibb.co/39k6yFM6), bulk trade (https://ibb.co/7xQWWR7x - courtesy of amongus)
28.6 keys in value - see comment for minis
29
Sellers
BP - https://ibb.co/nsHCsZdS - 28 keys, 2 months
MP - https://ibb.co/q37TCb2j - none
SCM - https://ibb.co/7dCxdJhH - none
25, 28, 29, 31
31 was listed for only 2 days; 29 was about 2 years based on item history
Dropping 31 for probable outlier and taking 25-28 keys
Mini for Item 4
Suggested prices <3 months
Taking median values for each
Blizzard Britches - 2.45
Festive Flare Gun - 1.7
Conga - 2.5
Kazotsky Kick - 3.5
Mourning Mercs - 1.6
RPS - 1.85
Box Trot - 1.4
Schadenfreude - 1.95
---
Spec.ks Frying Pan (https://backpack.tf/item/8383545516) -
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1780617600/1780617600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198768417493#!/compare/1780531200/1780617600
Median for Taunt: Cheers! - 1 key 4 ref
Median for Toque - 1.66 ref
Median for Objector - 3.22 ref (https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Conscientious%20Objector&at=2026-06-07T06:56:22.273Z)
+0.27 ref
~1 key 10 ref
~1.15
---
Ocean Reef Rocket Jockey (https://backpack.tf/item/15966047794) -
https://backpack.tf/item/16732305579
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31155;5;u3199
$5.95
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - taking $1.95/key
~3.05 keys
3.1
https://backpack.tf/item/11366733955
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31155;5;u3199
$5.95
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - taking $1.90/key
~3.13 keys
3.15
Taking 3.1
---
Showstopper High Five (https://backpack.tf/item/15722578983) -
Mini: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6a2517e57c7bc52b9b02ab94
6
---
Total 28.6 keys
Taking 29 for the bulk trade
Strange Spec. KS Beggar's Bazooka (it was counted in the total, I just somehow missed it from the copy-paste)
https://ibb.co/svsw4900
Taking 1.38 and rounding to 1.4 from lowest seller