Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/13600042111

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1773619200/1773705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1773619200/1773705600

18 keys

MPTF: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3126

Item 2 and 3: https://backpack.tf/item/10075003791 https://backpack.tf/item/13076689406

Sale 2:

Sold for $49.99 on April 9 2026

Keys were $1.97

49.99/1.97=25.37 ~25 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for $49.99 on May 16 2026

Keys were $1.97

49.99/1.97=25.37 ~25 keys

Sales:

18, 25 (x2)

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/P3DyBX3 28 keys (29 days and 3 months), 35 keys (2 days)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3126 none

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Autumn+Leaves+Taunt%3A+Conga none but by order at nearly 20 keys

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Conga?appid=440&q=Autumn%2520Leaves https://imgur.com/rzp25Zd none

A drop is definitely needed, however 18 looks too low with buyers at between 19 and 20 keys. Going with 25 keys flat