Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 5 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199056418321#!/compare/1776729600/1776816000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199352041#!/compare/1776729600/1776816000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Showstopper%20Taunt:%20The%20Drunken%20Sailor&at=2026-06-14T08:14:21.652Z - labelled as 2 keys + 5 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15248445085

Only 1 key + 5 ref match on the seller’s side. Given we have the exact amount of metal, I’d say it’s pretty unlikely gladiator is wrong here.

= 2.1 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31201;5;u3001

$4.99, March 23rd. Couldn’t find item history.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.92

4.99/1.92 = 2.599, rounds to 2.6 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199510644502#!/compare/1774396800/1775001600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199186104079#!/compare/1774483200/1774569600

https://backpack.tf/item/14959177485

Untraceable

#2

Sold for Exorcism Strange Grenade Launcher (Mini at ~3.5 below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192099314#!/compare/1776643200/1776816000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199056418321#!/compare/1776729600/1776816000

https://backpack.tf/item/15248445085

I’m not sure if the key leaving the seller’s side was involved or not. Considering we also see a key missing in the 2 key + 5 ref sale, it’s likely that it just wasn’t scanned in the buyer’s backpack.

Worth noting that I’ve tried to follow the key that left the seller’s inventory, and I also searched for similar IDs manually for the 2nd key.

Additionally, if it was just a 1:1, this sale would be higher than sellers (both for cash and for keys), and if the key WAS involved, this would end up at 2.5 keys, which would fall into the range.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1776729600/1776816000

https://backpack.tf/item/15221871441

Buyer untraceable. Thanks marketplace.

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061605705#!/compare/1777334400/1778198400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199352041#!/compare/1777248000/1777334400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Showstopper%20Taunt:%20The%20Drunken%20Sailor&at=2026-06-14T08:14:21.652Z - labelled as 2 keys + 5 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/16550159309

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199874969625#!/compare/1773273600/1774310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1773360000/1773446400

https://backpack.tf/item/15221871441

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/10766647118 - qsstore

https://backpack.tf/item/12472892368 - qsstore

https://backpack.tf/item/14048778845 - qsstore

Exorcism Strange Grenade Launcher:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1775692800/1775779200 - Near ID: 16909332570

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198809161636#!/compare/1774569600/1775779200

https://backpack.tf/item/17002697635

4 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083901668#!/compare/1777939200/1778025600 - Near ID: 17001985325

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199732790111#!/compare/1778025600/1778112000

https://backpack.tf/item/17008215585

3 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/206;11

https://backpack.tf/item/16835322647

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141237605#!/compare/1773792000/1774051200

$10, March 21st

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.92

10/1.92 = 5.208.

Seller at 4 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/jLB5tve.png

Calling 5.2 an outlier.

Taking 3-4 on the Grenade.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/8pEPo5k.png

https://backpack.tf/item/10766647118 - 3 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31201;5;u3001

https://backpack.tf/item/15221871441 - $5.90

https://backpack.tf/item/15248445085 - $5.90

https://backpack.tf/item/16550159309 - $5.90

Sales at:

2.1

2.6 (marketplace)

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Showstopper+Taunt%3A+The+Drunken+Sailor

https://i.imgur.com/ttt4ESp.png

STN buying for ~2.1 keys. Next highest buyer is on the classifieds at ~1.85 keys (a generic buy order). Shouldn’t be enough to counter when a range is needed.

As dodgy as that 2.1 key sale may be, we have a lot of support for a lower price

Taking 2.1-2.6 keys