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Mini for Uber Blaze Airdog
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/15509873976
Bot dump
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/14318707808
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021859147#!/compare/1781395200/1781481600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1781395200/1781481600
Bot dump for 24 keys 17 ref (https://ibb.co/RkmrjBr9 || https://backpack.tf/item/14318707808, Near ID 17151144490)
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380972938#!/compare/1781222400/1781481600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021859147#!/compare/1781395200/1781481600
Traded with S. Big Earner for Uber Blaze Airdog (https://ibb.co/QFvjkH52 - courtesy of Taylan)
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/13990913622
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135383528#!/compare/1779753600/1779926400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199006829917#!/compare/1643155200/1779840000
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30003;5;u61
$63.99 @ May 26 - use $1.93/key
~33.16 keys
33
Item 4
https://backpack.tf/item/13576275057
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1776470400/1776556800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323187740#!/compare/1776211200/1777766400
Key ID 16944230878 matches only 16 keys and some unusual taunts
Item 5
https://backpack.tf/item/13391702762
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1774137600/1774224000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447418942#!/compare/1774137600/1774224000
Near ID 16842427983 matches 12 keys
Item 6
https://backpack.tf/item/7956935315
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085751644#!/compare/1779753600/1779840000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132397846#!/compare/1779753600/1779840000
Bot dump / only 7 keys seen
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1779667200/1779753600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085751644#!/compare/1779667200/1779753600
Near ID 17076009047
25
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278949189#!/compare/1778803200/1778889600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1778803200/1778889600
Bot dump / untrace
Sale 4+5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199115434590#!/compare/1778025600/1778198400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199227426884#!/compare/1777593600/1778198400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199227426884#!/compare/1778716800/1778976000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278949189#!/compare/1778716800/1778976000
Untrace x2
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199620388738#!/compare/1776470400/1776556800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199115434590#!/compare/1776470400/1776556800
27
Item 7
https://backpack.tf/item/7077837083
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199405818205#!/compare/1777161600/1777248000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405497731#!/compare/1776729600/1777248000
Cash
Sale ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796736659#!/compare/1772841600/1776816000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199869691392#!/compare/1776816000/1777766400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199405818205#!/compare/1776729600/1776816000
Suspicious bulk bot dump
Item 8
https://backpack.tf/item/5071014402
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004570868#!/compare/1779926400/1780963200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1780272000/1780358400
Bot dump
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1779753600/1779840000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004570868#!/compare/1779926400/1779840000
27 keys 15.11 ref
27
Sale 3+4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1778457600/1778544000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1779062400/1779148800
Untrace then bot dump on a week later
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141410845#!/compare/1775260800/1775433600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1775347200/1775433600
Bot dump for 24 keys 24 ref
Sellers
BP - https://i.ibb.co/0yjWpdbq/image.png - 4(+2) sellers; 29 keys for 24 days
MP - https://i.ibb.co/pBkhqdcw/image.png - 3 sellers; $63.99 for 3+ months
SCM - https://i.ibb.co/0Rjh20R4/image.png - none
STN - https://i.ibb.co/rRJm38pW/image.png - 26 keys 37.77 ref (~26.66 keys), 19 days
25, 27, 27, 33
Limited by STN price, buy order at 24.3 with several bot dumps around that value
Take 25 keys flat
I don't think there's enough justification to exclude 27 Keys here with the data you presented when this was first suggested. That being said, there are some new sales:
Sold for 21 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1785283200/1785369600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144414148#!/compare/1785369600/1785974400
2 Keys were used for the black paint it seems.
Untraceable buyer dump
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405497731#!/compare/1785110400/1785974400
Sold for 25 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1784592000/1784678400
With these new sales and additional context for the 27 Key sales (One of the sales is now outdated, and the other sale was dumped to STN for less), excluding 27 seems fine right now. However, this will still need to be resuggested at 21-25.
Understood, currently caught up by quite a bit of rl stuff recently, will organize these info and Resuggest as soon as I’m able to
Regarding the first new sale, I have a different theory:
21 keys at seller's side (Key ID 17327612100), 23 at buyer's side (all match to the seller in history); Glad stats logged 29 keys
Apparently, the buyer also sold the Unusual Sky High Fly Guy (seen in the removed items) to another bot for extra keys. They weren't properly logged at the buyer's side, but 6 of the removed keys at Komi's compare have the history "Komi -> Witch's Bot": [17327612169] [17327612173] [17327612178] [17327612181] [17327612185] [17327612188]
The range of the IDs of the 21 keys at seller's side are 17327612058-17327612154
Judging from the proximity of the IDs (<50 difference between the 6 keys and the last key ID 17327612154), it should be reasonable to conclude that these 6 keys were also part of the trade and, taking into consideration of the buyer's 23 removed keys, would prove Glad stat's log of 29 keys.
I'd like to check if you agree with this reasoning; if so, the suggested range would be altered. Still, I will need to review all traceable sales again anyway to confirm what the new range would be.
Good find. That does seem to line up with Witch Bot's listing, as we now have proper information for previous unsold listings: https://archivist.tf/history?item=Miami+Nights+Galvanized+Gibus&at=2026-07-29
However, if this is the case then there's currently an issue. STN is currently unsold at ~24 Keys, which is below every single sale currently: https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Miami+Nights+Galvanized+Gibus
I suppose this does line up with the two 24 Key buyer dumps. Luckily, sale 1 is still in-date relative to these new sales, so I would say that can be used as the low end here for a range of 24-29.