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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/9563860158
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1778112000/1778198400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001220401#!/compare/1778112000/1778198400
Looks like 9 keys, near ID doesn't work since the buyer added a description
Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/9762887840
Covering MPTF at the end
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199050998344#!/compare/1780099200/1780358400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1780272000/1780358400
Dumped to Quicksell.Store alongside the Drunkard Cattleman's Kettle for ~16 keys (15 keys and a key of metal)
Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/10166298637
Scammed
MPTF: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31181;5;u164
Item 2 above and item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/14609881147
Sale 3:
Sold for $22 on May 30 2026
Keys were $1.93
22/1.93=11.39 ~11 keys
Sale 4:
Sold for $22 on June 6 2026
Keys were $1.92
22/1.92=11.45 ~11 keys
Sales:
9, 11 (x2)
Sellers:
BPTF - https://imgur.com/10ZBcw2 10.52 and 20 keys, but buyers nearly at 9.5 keys
MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31181;5;u164 none
STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Frozen+Fractals+Killing+Tree none buy buy order at ~9.5 keys
SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Killing%20Tree?appid=440&q=Frozen+Fractals https://imgur.com/NOaFbaz 38.08€ (~19 keys)
Tough one, buyers are up to 9.5 keys, however nothing indicates that 9 was a quicksell. It feels wrong to go 11 flat when there are 2 lower sales out of 4 (sale at 9 and a dump), plus there's a seller at 10.52 even though in theory it would round up to 11 if it sold.
Taking these points into consideration, going with 9-11 keys for now to give this a slight raise ((9+11.45)/2=10.225 so rounding to the nearest key on both sides)