Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/16951432729

6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048168944#!/compare/1777075200/1777161600 (ID: 16966141750)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199380478771#!/compare/1777075200/1777161600

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/16910041773

5 keys 30 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169931107#!/compare/1776297600/1776470400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245176012#!/compare/1776384000/1776470400

confirmed: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Twilight%20Snowfall%20Air%20Head&at=2026-05-10T21:03:10.776Z

Rounding to 5.5

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/16910041773

8 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245176012#!/compare/1776988800/1777075200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199380478771#!/compare/1777075200/1777161600

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/16866563546

6.66 ref traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062408052#!/compare/1775520000/1775433600

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/16866563546

22.11 ref traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198738072786#!/compare/1776124800/1776211200

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/16824001247

3 keys 7 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297657194#!/compare/1774224000/1774396800

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/16514530554

6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1771632000/1771718400 (ID: 16749433058)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199852813513#!/compare/1771632000/1771718400

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/16514530554

10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199852813513#!/compare/1771632000/1771977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152648165#!/compare/1771632000/1771718400

Huge credit to shuffle spy:

“ https://backpack.tf/item/17028601872 - SCM sale, then a gift

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1780272000/1780358400 - 3 Keys + ~3 Keys of Mixed

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026488683#!/compare/1780272000/1780358400 - 6 Keys + some amount of Refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026488683#!/compare/1780531200/1780617600 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306756308#!/compare/1780790400/1780876800 - Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019016944#!/compare/1775606400/1781049600 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800 - Dumped to STN for 6 Keys + 0.55 Refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108628484#!/compare/1780444800/1780531200 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121615824#!/compare/1778630400/1779321600 - 7 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098581262#!/compare/1779235200/1779321600 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1779321600/1779494400 - SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1780531200/1780704000 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198976723352#!/compare/1779062400/1779235200 - 6 Keys + 25 Refined (~0.5 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/16897054673 - Gambled a bunch after the 6.5 Key sale

https://backpack.tf/item/16509437145 - All gambling or untraceable sales

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199001989795#!/compare/1755302400/1781222400 - Quicksold for 6 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199067395206#!/compare/1781222400/1781308800 - Quicksold for 6 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199067395206#!/compare/1781308800/1781568000 - Quicksold for 6 Keys + 16.11 Refined (~0.5 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1781913600/1782000000 - Sold for 6 Keys + ~1 Key of Refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199167121681#!/compare/1782172800/1782345600 - ?

https://backpack.tf/item/16502951368 - The earlier sales are gambling or untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199054447379#!/compare/1779321600/1779753600 - ?

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31591;5;u404 - $15 (~8 Keys) and $14 x4 (~7.5 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/16790879043 - History for the June 16th Marketplace sale

https://backpack.tf/item/16715746139 - History for the June 19th or June 22nd Marketplace sale

https://backpack.tf/item/16498581626 - History for the other of the June 19th and June 22nd Marketplace sales

https://backpack.tf/item/16515971002 - History for the June 3rd, June 10th, or June 11th Marketplace sale

https://backpack.tf/item/16560950390 - History for the June 3rd or June 10th sale

Either the $15 buyer or the first $14 buyer dumped it for 5 Keys + 32 Refined (~0.5 Keys)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Twilight%20Snowfall%20Air%20Head&at=2026-06-29T00:47:22.353Z

Sales 1 and 3 are backwards, and the 34 Refined in the buyer's inventory went in the 6 Key sale, so that'd be ~6.5 Keys. 5.5 Keys is below buy orders now. With sales at 5.5, 5.5, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6.5, 6.5, 6.5, 7, 7, 7.5, 7.5, 7.5, 7.5, 8, 8, and 10 and a seller that's been unsuccessful at 8 Keys for a month, 6 - 7.5 would work as a range here.”

Final price: 6 - 7.5