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Item 1
Seller | Buyer: Key ID 17031981807
17
Seller | Buyer: Bot dump/untrace
Item 2
Bot dump/untrace/gamble
Item 3
All movements other than this set are bot dump/untrace/gamble
Seller | Buyer: Near ID 17019855545
16
Item 4
Untrace
Item 5
Buyer untraced (The owner directly after MPTF bot acquired it from elsewhere and later in time)
$49.99 @ Jun 12; in-date key price @ $1.91
~26
Sellers
BP - 3+2 sellers
MP - 3 sellers
SCM - 2 sellers
STN sells at 19 keys 42.66 ref
16, 17, ~26
Dropping 26 due to 3 sellers (STN + BP) below it
Taking 16-17
https://backpack.tf/item/9739489246
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199435651545#!/compare/1779235200/1779321600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199405785454#!/compare/1779235200/1779321600
Traded alongside Specialized Killstreak Bread Bite for Specialized Killstreak Australium Axtinguisher + Festivized Specialized Killstreak Australium Axtinguisher + Mean Captain + Strange Tundra Top
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199405785454#!/compare/1783036800/1783123200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1783036800/1783123200
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1784332800/1784419200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197985538782#!/compare/1784332800/1784419200
Counted 17 keys 56.55 ref on buyer's side
https://backpack.tf/item/16673795171
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246532522#!/compare/1776902400/1777766400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199875299054#!/compare/1777766400/1777766400
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199875299054#!/compare/1777766400/1786492800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198795183309#!/compare/1777593600/1777766400
Bulk/bp sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198795183309#!/compare/1777593600/1777766400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199405657807#!/compare/1777680000/1777766400
Bulk/cashout
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199405657807#!/compare/1778976000/1779062400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199558331652#!/compare/1783900800/1784246400
SCM sale
The first one is technically still a bot dump and not usable? Though it would probably invalidate the initial purchase (market hasn't really shifted at that time to see obvious profit from bot dump)
The third one checks out though, that makes it 17-18?
16 - 18 should be fine.