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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/16500884061
Sale 1: Marketplace sale
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31025;5;u401
Sold for $59.99 on Jul 7th
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
Key price for the day is $1.84
$59.99 / $1.84 = 32.6k
No classifieds link, no sellers/buyers for this effect on this hat.
One sale at 32.6k, rounding this up to 33k and taking that for the sole value here.