Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/item/16927032117

7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1779753600/1779840000 (ID: 17077709571)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165373557#!/compare/1779753600/1779840000

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/16614226699

8 keys 2 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1776816000/1776902400 (ID: 16956258522)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199756640517#!/compare/1776038400/1776902400

Rounding to 8

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15511459622

6 keys 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199047858865#!/compare/1779408000/1780876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1780704000/1780790400

confirmed: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Orbiting%20Fire%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2026-07-19T19:31:09.955Z

rounding to 6

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15511459622

9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1780704000/1780876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199436079710#!/compare/1780790400/1781049600

Sale #5

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u33

history not found

mp.tf sale on 4/26/26

$19.84 / $1.99 = 9.97

Rounding to 10

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/16614226699

6 keys 20 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199756640517#!/compare/1777593600/1777939200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389133702#!/compare/1777852800/1777939200

confirmed: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Orbiting%20Fire%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2026-07-19T19:31:09.955Z

rounding to 6.5

Current sellers:

$22.22 on mp.tf

$74.75 on SCM

12 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 7, 8, 6, 9, 10, 6.5

Final price: 6.5 - 10