Pricing Event 2026

Terror-Watt Epilogue Locks - (Crimson)

Pricing the unpriced!

Sales from: https://backpack.tf/item/16673625172

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199507005600#!/compare/1785974400/1786060800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1785974400/1786060800

Bulk.

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Sales from: https://backpack.tf/item/17227296361

Excluding bot transfers

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090926099#!/compare/1783555200/1783728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697394581#!/compare/1783555200/1783641600

A lot of keys match, makes no sense.

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Sales from: https://backpack.tf/item/17178120122

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199247942862#!/compare/1783036800/1783209600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199501777908#!/compare/1783123200/1783296000

Whole backpack went.

Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199501777908#!/compare/1783382400/1783468800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199519862#!/compare/1783382400/1783468800

Untrace.

Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199519862#!/compare/1783468800/1783555200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128939937#!/compare/1783468800/1783555200

Bulk.

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Sales from: https://backpack.tf/item/17138264239

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044859575#!/compare/1782518400/1782691200 - 7 keys and 57.77 ref match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1782432000/1782518400

Sold to a bot for 7 keys and 57.77 ref = ~8

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Sales from: https://backpack.tf/item/17028851813

Excluding gambling

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113622176#!/compare/1784592000/1785196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199531944#!/compare/1784505600/1784592000

Untrace.

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Sales from: https://backpack.tf/item/16968552320

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255022795#!/compare/1778112000/1778371200 - 8 keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198836757260#!/compare/1778284800/1778371200

Sold for 8 keys.

mp.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31593;5;u57

Jun 23, 2026

27.99/1.83

~15 keys

Jul 19, 2026

16.65/1.85

~9 keys

Classies: https://i.imgur.com/INwoC5x.png + https://i.imgur.com/rhj7B5r.png - sellers at 8 keys, only universal buyers starting at 6 keys.

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Terror-Watt+Epilogue+Locks - STN selling for 8 also

Sales: 8, 8, 9 and 15.

Unsolds at 8 for 2 weeks

Excluding 15 is an obvious outlier. However also going to exclude 9 keys since there is 3 unsolds on BP selling for 8 keys and one on STN (unsold for over a month)

8 keys flat works best here