Pricing Event 2026

Sakura Smoke Bomb Brimmed Bootlegger - 7

Mptf sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31366;5;u288

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

May 13: 52.99/1.98 = ~27 keys

Jul 2: 49.99/1.82 = ~27 keys

Jul 17: 2x @ 39.99/1.85 = ~22 keys

Jul 21: 39.99/1.85 = ~22 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15561358879

https://backpack.tf/item/13804788757

https://backpack.tf/item/13421413430

https://backpack.tf/item/13313840531

Some possible histories

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13804788757

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165363447#!/compare/1780531200/1781222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101610228#!/compare/1780790400/1780963200

Untraceable

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13421413430

Ignoring mannco

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143715421#!/compare/1783814400/1783900800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199272632371#!/compare/1783900800/1783987200

Untraceable

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/17053285257

Ignoring mannco

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353416390#!/compare/1780272000/1780531200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1780444800/1780531200

17110181977

Went to a bot for 20 keys and less than half a key in metal = 20 keys

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/16993601444

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072632479#!/compare/1779667200/1779753600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128213644#!/compare/1779494400/1779753600

Untraceable then went to mannco

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/16839750254

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1781308800/1781395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031392784#!/compare/1758931200/1781568000

23 keys

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/16780084245

Bot then mannco

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/16704664766

Scammer trades and mannco

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/15579977005

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198423051068#!/compare/1779148800/1779667200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066743294#!/compare/1779580800/1779667200

20 keys match on buyer’s end, the metal is almost half a key but I’ll round down to 20 keys

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/15527364054

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199529305578#!/compare/1781827200/1782000000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195138810#!/compare/1781568000/1782086400

Untraceable

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195138810#!/compare/1782086400/1782345600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198398638928#!/compare/1781136000/1782259200

Untraceable

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198398638928#!/compare/1782259200/1782691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1782172800/1782345600

Untraceable

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1782172800/1782259200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169073802#!/compare/1781654400/1782777600

17186176367

18 keys

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169073802#!/compare/1782777600/1783036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128939937#!/compare/1782691200/1782864000

Untraceable

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128939937#!/compare/1783382400/1783468800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045892076#!/compare/1783382400/1783468800

Added 7 keys for Stellar Orbit Airdog. More sales here, can use there

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045892076#!/compare/1783555200/1783641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040212496#!/compare/1783641600/1783555200

Untraceable

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040212496#!/compare/1785283200/1785369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199164826497#!/compare/1731369600/1786060800

Untraceable

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/13564896871

Mannco to mp

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/13544019195

Ignoring qsstore bot transfer

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165799381#!/compare/1784073600/1784160000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1784073600/1784246400

17266165591

HG Brigade Helm + ~4 keys for Sakura Smoke Bomb Brimmed Bootlegger + roughly 30sh keys in sweets, bulky

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1785542400/1785715200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094051454#!/compare/1785456000/1785715200

Bulk

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/13471907898

Multiple tradebacks to qsstore but all around a month after purchase. Skipping the tradebacks to qsstore but looking at the sales from qsstore

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697394581#!/compare/1778630400/1778803200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199007984458#!/compare/1778371200/1778803200

Bulk

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1782604800/1782777600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199801897725#!/compare/1781136000/1782777600

Untraceable

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1785974400/1786060800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236753344#!/compare/1785974400/1786060800

17368057677

23 keys

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/13375790165

Scammer trade and mp transfer

Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/13332174389

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169804678#!/compare/1784160000/1784592000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072632479#!/compare/1784246400/1784332800

Untraceable

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072632479#!/compare/1784505600/1784592000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199186244461#!/compare/1784505600/1784592000

Buyer’s side, 19 keys and more than half a key in metal = 20 keys

Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/13323455009

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199140840754#!/compare/1782691200/1785196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1782691200/1782777600

Untraceable

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1784764800/1784851200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199206009808#!/compare/1784764800/1784851200

17301210346

Went to a bot for 19 keys

Item 15

https://backpack.tf/item/13319478687

Mp transfer

Item 16

https://backpack.tf/item/13261628763

Mannco and mp transfer

Item 17

https://backpack.tf/item/13244470387

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323218912#!/compare/1781654400/1781827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088316707#!/compare/1781654400/1781827200

17166098422

23 keys

Item 18

https://backpack.tf/item/13240942264

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199509247153#!/compare/1780185600/1781568000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1780704000/1781049600

17154433769

Went to a bot for 20 keys and less than half a key in metal = 20 keys

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1781568000/1781740800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1781568000/1781740800

From bot to owner

Item 19

https://backpack.tf/item/13243339811

Ignoring tradeback to komi

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1780099200/1780185600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801135686#!/compare/1777680000/1780185600

Untraceable

Item 20

https://backpack.tf/item/13243609573

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000

Bulk to stn

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1782518400/1782691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995465303#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

Untraceable

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995465303#!/compare/1782777600/1782864000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072632479#!/compare/1782777600/1782950400

Untraceable

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072632479#!/compare/1782777600/1782864000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388115845#!/compare/1782604800/1782950400

17210364730

23 keys

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388115845#!/compare/1782604800/1783036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1782864000/1783036800

Bulk to stn. I would usually say this invalidates sale 24 above but there are other sales at 23 to support.

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1784851200/1784937600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088878793#!/compare/1784764800/1784937600

17308023981

Stn sold for 19 keys

Item 21

https://backpack.tf/item/13253742183

Sale 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285461587#!/compare/1783036800/1783468800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198693110994#!/compare/1783468800/1783555200

Untraceable

Sale 28

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198693110994#!/compare/1783468800/1783555200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198749215269#!/compare/1783468800/1785715200

Untraceable

Sale 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198749215269#!/compare/1783468800/1785715200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1783382400/1783555200

Untraceable. Everything before Michael receives it is quite suspicious

Sale 30

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1784764800/1784937600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037937903#!/compare/1784592000/1784937600

Untraceable, maybe the 5d Bat Hat was sold for the keys to buy this

Total Sales

18

19 (2x)

20 (3x)

22 (2x)

23 (4x)

27 (2x)

Classies: https://ibb.co/NgbWFVTX

Seller 22 hours ago @ ~24 (has owned it for about a week), 3x @ 25, a bunch on mp for 49.99. Buyers at around ~20.5 keys.

Calling 27 high, cutting off 19 and lower and taking the range as 20 - 23 keys.