Pricing Event 2026

Sunbeams Lucky Shot (Eku)

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/17183440299

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199812119865#!/compare/1782950400/1783209600https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1783123200/1783209600

https://imgur.com/a/i7lNhes

Guy paid 375, regretted it and Ancientpear bought it back for 365.Taking 365 as the valid value/Invalid sale

Sale 2

Sale 2:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199812119865#!/compare/1782950400/1783382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1783123200/1783382400

https://imgur.com/a/9QEcNQy

Trade ofCircling Heart Vive la France, Scorching Flames Dapper Noel,

Sunbeams Lucky Shot for Circling TF Logo Pyromancer's Mask

(I tried hard to price this, but it ended up under buyers -eku)

Ends up under buy orders

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Shuffle's comment:

To prove Sale 2 on Item 1 is under the buy order price here, the Vive has sellers down to 46 Keys, and the Noel has these sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1778198400/1778284800- 50 Keys + Sunbeams Dapper Noel

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Scorching+Flames+Dapper+Noel&at=2026-05-09&range=3- The buyout was 97 Keys if it matters

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1778630400/1778716800- 96 Keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31494;5;u14- $280 (high outlier)

The Pyromancer's Mask has a usable sale at 321 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1784419200/1784505600

321 - ~96 - 46 = 179 which will be under buy order price.

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Item 2:https://backpack.tf/item/7052613929https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088063575#!/compare/1778284800/1778198400https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198288294254#!/compare/1778198400/1778284800Untrace/Bulk movement

Sale 1:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061184951#!/compare/1783209600/1783296000https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088063575#!/compare/1783123200/1783296000

Sold with 150 keys for a Burning Flames Lucky Shot (428.5)

= 278.5

Item 3:https://backpack.tf/item/16560126476

Sale 1:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1785369600/1785542400https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1785456000/1785542400

Sold with 50 keys for a Strange Freedom Wrapped War Paint (Factory New) + Catastrophic Companions.

Better used to price the war paint as that doesn't have any clear traceable sales apart from the above and this (and green apple's sale that was from his buy order at 210)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1783209600/1783296000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108020681#!/compare/1783123200/1783296000

but Tesla Coil Bomber's Bucket Hat has price of 450 so that doesn't right here??

Credits shuffle for finding this sale:

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/12464284960

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199075540818#!/compare/1778457600/1778544000- Buyer's side

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199284954#!/compare/1778457600/1778544000- Seller's side

Sold for Strange Original (quicksold for 150 Keys + 3.33 Ref) + Playful Aurora Polar Charger (90 Keys) + Rocket (quicksold for 30 Keys) + Spectral Wick Airdog (quicksold for 28 Keys + ~1 Key of Refined) + Kill-a-Watt Lucky Shot (buy orders at 22.8 Keys) + Sunbeams Airdog (buy orders at 21.3 Keys)

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Playful+Aurora+Polar+Charger&at=2026-05-13&range=3- chatterbox listed the Polar Charger on Marketplace immediately

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Kill-a-Watt+Lucky+Shot&at=2026-05-13&range=3- And the Kill-a-Watt Lucky Shot

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Sunbeams+Airdog&at=2026-05-12&range=3- And the Sunbeams Airdog

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Sunbeams+Lucky+Shot&at=2026-05-10&range=3- That'll cap at the buyout of ~333 Keys

Sale(s)

280, 333

Going with 280 - 333