Suggestion: Circling Heart Winter Woodsman at 43 keys

Price Suggestion

~41 keys

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Pricing Event 2026

(Team 1 - Suggestion 7 - Day 4)

Price Suggestion for Circling Heart Winter Woodsman — clone

History 1:

https://backpack.tf/item/16545939241

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106511423#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

untrace

Later deposited and sold on mannco, can't use

History 2:

https://backpack.tf/item/16468853300

Deposit

History 3:

https://backpack.tf/item/16328052348

Passed through MP once, passed through many bots. none usable

Going by bot snapshots however

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248475996

there exist snapshots on Jun 25 and 29, after the item left the bot but before the listed MP Sale (Jul 3). Thus I conclude this is not the one that sold there

History 4:

https://backpack.tf/item/16468853300

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084875034#!/compare/1783728000/1783814400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199041022874#!/compare/1783728000/1783814400

untrace, deposted to MP

History 5:

https://backpack.tf/item/16221643228

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209682169#!/compare/1785542400/1785888000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1785801600/1785888000

bulk

History 6:

https://backpack.tf/item/15193148028

Bought from QS, Dumped to bot. Skipping

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111970399#!/compare/1784419200/1784505600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198332387763#!/compare/1784937600/1785196800

Presumably bought by Flaw to sell on mannco, untrace regardless

History 7:

https://backpack.tf/item/13555336502

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122564773#!/compare/1784764800/1786320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117410014#!/compare/1784764800/1785283200

gift presumably

History 8:

https://backpack.tf/item/13229622675

Bot passover, MP Deposit

History 9:

https://backpack.tf/item/11801620082

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198429572676#!/compare/1785974400/1786320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1785888000/1785974400

Sold to STN. 38 keys match, presumably 39.5 based on current price https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Circling+Heart+Winter+Woodsman still under buyers regardless

History 10:

https://backpack.tf/item/12499295833

Sale 7:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30549;5;u19

79.99 / 1.84 = 43.4 keys ~ 43 keys

Following the logic for the previous MP history, it is more likely this is the sale with the bot only having snapshots for Jun 11 (when the item was last seen) and Jul 10 (after the item sold on Jul 3)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248516260

Lotta sales and lotta histories for a whole lotta nothing

Sales:

39.5 (under buyers)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Winter%20Woodsman?appid=440&q=Circling+Hear&sort=0&dir=0

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Circling+Heart+Winter+Woodsman&at=2026-08-09

Taking 43 flat I guess. Works with current 40-44 key listing spread

history 2 did have a trade, but it seems untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084875034#!/compare/1783728000/1783814400 - near ID: 17249492708

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199041022874#!/compare/1783728000/1783814400

2 keys match. 1640 keys on the buyer's side, i'm not keen on counting them up

history 4 is also just a copy of history 2

for history 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199498428714#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/item/16328052348

untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199498428714#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/item/16328052348

untraceable, doesn't show on gladiator

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380634252#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199136027462#!/compare/1782345600/1782604800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Winter%20Woodsman&at=2026-08-11T13:29:10.856Z - 4th purchase on the day

https://backpack.tf/item/16328052348

33 keys + ~1 key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079727972#!/compare/1782864000/1783641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1782777600/1782864000

https://backpack.tf/item/16328052348

Bulk dump from the bot's owner

history 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800 - near ID: 17199762971

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054848760#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/item/15193148028

33 keys match, some metal may have been involved

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054848760#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389549498#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800 - might be the buyer?

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Winter%20Woodsman&at=2026-08-11T13:29:10.856Z

https://backpack.tf/item/15193148028 - 6th one down

we do see exactly 33 keys + 54 ref matching, as labeled in gladiator, coming from a different gladiator bot. given how many bloody times this hat moved in half an hour, it probably wasn't scanned in either the bot's, or the owner's backpack before being dumped again.

history 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098607786#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/item/13229622675

untraceable, does also appear more than once on gladiator.

definitely a weird situation with the gladiator mass dumps, though buyers have since shot up to 40. would like some mod input on whether they think we should include at least 38 in the range