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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/3131403814 - Spelled
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241622178#!/compare/1783296000/1783382400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273637877#!/compare/1782777600/1783382400
Sold for 500 keys pure + Spelled Strange Cloud 9 Trencher's Topper.
No mini for Spelled trencher's topper
Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/3121986654 (excluding tradeback)
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124799470#!/compare/1786579200/1786665600
https://imgur.com/a/1Sb6Zj8
Sold for 1000 keys pure
//
Sellers:
BPTF - None
MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30014;5;u85 - None
STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Ghastly+Ghosts+Jr+Tyrantium+Helmet - None
SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Tyrantium%20Helmet?appid=440&q=Ghastly+Ghosts+Jr - None
Sale(s):
1000
Going with 1000 keys flat
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088063575#!/compare/1739750400/1739836800 Very old, but the most recent sale on the Trencher's is with a spelled PE stuntman for 238 keys. Ironically, sale 1 feels like it will be significantly lower than 1000 despite it being spelled.
The discrepancy between Sale 1 and Sale 2 is significant enough I'd say that it can't be ignored. Unless you can find proof that more was involved on Sale 1, I would say this is best left outdated for the time being. Not knowing who the buyer of Sale 2 is adds another extra layer of uncertainty as well.