Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/item/11254410200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1786665600/1786752000 ~ 4 keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199049789825#!/compare/1786579200/1786752000

Sell order was 7 keys roughly https://i.imgur.com/YzszUtC.png

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107867474#!/compare/1783382400/1783468800 ~ 8 keys + 7 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1783382400/1783468800

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/item/10043766556

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066993011#!/compare/1780617600/1780963200 ~ cashout

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059382847#!/compare/1780444800/1780876800

Sale #4:

https://backpack.tf/item/8535096584

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1785974400/1786060800 ~ no matches

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198728119792#!/compare/1785974400/1786060800 ~ no matches

Sale #5:

https://backpack.tf/item/8239531734

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402082466#!/compare/1783728000/1783814400 ~ 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199186541168#!/compare/1783641600/1783728000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Violet%20Vortex%20Convict%20Cap&at=2026-08-16T16:15:16.603Z ~ 6 keys 42 ref apparently

Sale #6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1782950400/1783036800 ~ 9 keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402082466#!/compare/1782864000/1783123200 ~ 15.33 ref added

Sale #7:

https://backpack.tf/item/8183472997 ~ skinport

Sale #8:

https://backpack.tf/item/8192470355

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1786752000/1786838400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078227728#!/compare/1786579200/1786838400 ~ bought 2 from stn

Sale #10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697394581#!/compare/1786492800/1786579200 ~ untrace, most likely bought from qs store and dumped to stn for a profit

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1786492800/1786579200

Sale #11:

https://backpack.tf/item/12827690311 ~ gambling

Sale #12:

https://backpack.tf/item/15623228482 ~ gambling until merendas

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199565195028#!/compare/1783641600/1783728000 ~ 8 keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1783641600/1783728000

Sale #13:

https://backpack.tf/item/8157904071

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198988825682#!/compare/1783555200/1783641600 ~ bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1783555200/1783641600

Sale #14:

https://backpack.tf/item/8178274837

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072611396#!/compare/1780185600/1780272000 ~ 1 scrap matches

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199530159630#!/compare/1780185600/1780272000 ~ 9 keys removed, 16.88 ref added

Sale #15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199747419207#!/compare/1780012800/1780099200 ~ 5 keys + 15.22 ref matches

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072611396#!/compare/1780012800/1780099200

Sale #16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172403113#!/compare/1779321600/1779840000 ~ removed for nothing

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199747419207#!/compare/1779148800/1779321600

Sales @ 4, 5, 8, 8, 9, 9

Considering 2 sellers at 7, with 1 there for a month (as seen in Sale #1 photo as well), and most likely gladiator sold for 7, we should be able to use that as our low range and do 7-9. STN is also selling for roughly 7 keys.

@Price Moderators, if this does not work, potentially a straight 7 b/o drop would work? Open to any feedback :)

Looks like Komi sold one today for 7 keys, though its untrace: https://i.imgur.com/aKmdRgb.png

https://backpack.tf/item/8204704370