Sale 1:

Sold for 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071789057#!/compare/1787011200/1787184000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199822932593#!/compare/1787097600/1787184000

https://backpack.tf/item/6983663234

= 2 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 2 keys + 1.33 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1781136000/1781222400 - Near ID: 17140077543

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198790781672#!/compare/1781136000/1781222400

https://backpack.tf/item/7244521677

= 2 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198790781672#!/compare/1783209600/1783296000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1783123200/1783209600

https://backpack.tf/item/7244521677

Follows Sale 2.

It’s likely the sale was a little less somehow (seller could’ve added metal or something), but there’s not much evidence for that. Will not affect the range regardless.

= 2 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1781568000/1781740800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086997247#!/compare/1779667200/1785369600

https://backpack.tf/item/6718124786

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013248047#!/compare/1784246400/1784332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199321638542#!/compare/1758585600/1784419200

https://backpack.tf/item/12655564814

Likely gambled

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199321638542#!/compare/1758585600/1784419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341699446#!/compare/1784419200/1784505600

https://backpack.tf/item/12655564814

Likely gambled

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341699446#!/compare/1784592000/1784764800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871636607#!/compare/1783814400/1784592000

https://backpack.tf/item/12655564814

Likely gambled

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198871636607#!/compare/1783814400/1784592000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340767997#!/compare/1784505600/1784592000

https://backpack.tf/item/12655564814

Likely gambled

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340767997#!/compare/1784851200/1785110400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016687662#!/compare/1785024000/1785456000

https://backpack.tf/item/12655564814

Likely gambled

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30876;5;u3123

https://backpack.tf/item/12655564814 - July 16th

Couldn’t find the August 10th history, not archived.

$5.20, July 16th & August 10th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.85, July 16th

$1.92, August 10th

5.2/1.85 = 2.811, rounds to 2.8 keys

5.2/1.92 = 2.708, rounds to 2.7 keys

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/dsnanwC.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7244521677 - 3 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30876;5;u3123

https://backpack.tf/item/13272967916 - $5.20 (~2.75 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/13182259484 - $5.20

Sales at:

2 (3x)

2.7 (marketplace)

2.8 (marketplace)

The 2nd 2 key sale is invalid, but it won’t affect the range here.

Taking 2-2.8 keys.