Sale 1:

Sold with 18.44 ref (~.3 keys) for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1784592000/1784678400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077917999#!/compare/1784592000/1784678400

https://backpack.tf/item/13324150530

= 2.7 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for a RPS taunt (~2.125) + ~20 ref in items (<0.35 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375669182#!/compare/1783900800/1783987200 - Near ID: 17256164169

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198764437219#!/compare/1778371200/1784332800

https://backpack.tf/item/13324150530

The botkiller sniper rifle was also involved (separated from the group on the seller’s side), but none of the other items from the buyer’s side match.

Taking current bp prices for the items, but using the key price that was active during the time of the sale (~57.22 ref)

= 2.45 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to STN for 2 keys + 13.33 ref (~.25 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199121446560#!/compare/1784505600/1784592000 - Near ID: 17290054577

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1784505600/1784592000

https://backpack.tf/item/13324150530

= 2.25 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1182;5;u3123

https://backpack.tf/item/12410462823

$6.25, June 18th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.85

6.25/1.85 = 3.378, rounds to 3.4 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199209711618#!/compare/1781740800/1781827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1781740800/1781827200

https://backpack.tf/item/12410462823

Untraceable STN dump, some metal matches. Follows the marketplace purchase.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199512707647#!/compare/1784419200/1786406400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448752329#!/compare/1785628800/1785974400 - no good compare

https://backpack.tf/item/12480556958

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448752329#!/compare/1786406400/1786665600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1786320000/1786406400

https://backpack.tf/item/12480556958

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198764437219#!/compare/1784332800/1784419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199121446560#!/compare/1784332800/1784419200

https://backpack.tf/item/13324150530

Sold with some skins for a bunch of war paints. Not an ideal sale to be using to price this.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077917999#!/compare/1784678400/1784764800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050829487#!/compare/1784505600/1784764800

https://backpack.tf/item/13324150530

Untraceable. Ban reason on the buyer’s account is vague, potentially related to their steamrep ban, but there’s no ban reason other than ban evasion listed on either account.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/ZAYMW0T.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12410462823 - ~3.3 keys

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Wildflower+Meadows+Taunt%3A+Yeti+Punch

https://i.imgur.com/YWHEh9h.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12480556958 - 2 keys + 37.88 ref (~2.6 keys)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Yeti%20Punch?appid=440&q=meadows&detail=523133236131624697

$10.12 AUD (keys are currently ~$3.23 AUD), ~3.15 keys

Sales at:

2.25

2.45

2.7

3.4 (marketplace)

3.4 re-sold to STN, most likely at a loss. Excluding 3.4.

2.25 did go to a bot’s buy order, but this isn’t the only instance of a bot dump as indicated above, and this is pretty close to the other sale that isn’t a bot dump, so we should be fine keeping 2.25 in the range here.

Taking 2.25-2.7 keys.