Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/15067460740

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198828971630#!/compare/1786233600/1786320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086890728#!/compare/1786233600/1786320000

Dumped to a bot for 2 keys

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086890728#!/compare/1786233600/1786320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109161900#!/compare/1786233600/1786320000

Untrace then listed on Mannco.Store

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/14996238136

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1785283200/1785369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198439720007#!/compare/1785283200/1785542400

Sold for 4 keys

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/13961129015

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199272632371#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060921491#!/compare/1775347200/1781136000

Bulk

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060921491#!/compare/1775347200/1781136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000

Dumped to STN, 4.44 ref matches

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1785715200/1785801600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199816621955#!/compare/1785628800/1785715200

Untrace

MPTF: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30918;5;u3184

Sale 7:

Sold for $9.99 on July 15 2026

Keys were $1.85

9.99/1.85=5.4 keys

Sales:

4, 5.4

Sellers and buyers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/RHgRlLt Seller at 7.39 keys (1 month), buyers up to 3.46 keys

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30918;5;u3184 Nothing

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Pumpkin+Patch+Taunt%3A+Surgeon%27s+Squeezebox Buy order at ~3.15 keys

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Surgeon%27s%20Squeezebox?appid=440&q=Pumpkin+Patch https://imgur.com/FvMhj5Q Buyers up to 7.27€ (~3.7 keys)

Going with 4-5.4 keys (median of 4.7 keys so rounding both ends to the nearest 0.05 keys)