Sale 1:

Sold for 18 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101442624#!/compare/1783123200/1783382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082873264#!/compare/1783296000/1783382400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt%3A%20Kazotsky%20Kick&at=2026-08-23T12:21:19.867Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/8320747393

= 18 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 18 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1785888000/1785974400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054601655#!/compare/1785801600/1785888000

https://backpack.tf/item/12050378423

= 18 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1783209600/1783296000 - Near ID: 17226305407

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057285337#!/compare/1783209600/1783296000

https://backpack.tf/item/8524734180

= 17 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 17 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1783296000/1783382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1783296000/1783382400

https://backpack.tf/item/5493106882

https://i.imgur.com/TybksWa.png - B/O was 16 keys + 50 ref, it may have sold with a little metal. Should still be fine to use.

= 17 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 14 keys + 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199620978880#!/compare/1783123200/1783209600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072652703#!/compare/1783123200/1783209600

https://backpack.tf/item/12146404955

= 14 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3003

https://backpack.tf/item/5461593774 - July 5th

https://backpack.tf/item/15423407596 - August 1st

https://backpack.tf/item/12146404955 - August 3rd

https://backpack.tf/item/13986295843 - August 6th

$37.62, July 5th, August 1st, 3rd, & 6th

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+Kazotsky+Kick&at=2026-08-01&range=3 - August 1st B/O was “Listing price / 1.9”

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+Kazotsky+Kick&at=2026-07-04&range=3 - July 5th B/O was “Listing price / 1.8”

No B/Os found on the other two.

The B/Os we do have won’t affect the prices here.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.84, July 5th

$1.85, August 1st, 3rd & 6th

37.62/1.84 = 20.446, rounds to 20 keys

37.62/1.85 = 20.335, rounds to 20 keys (3x)

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199229732697#!/compare/1782864000/1786406400 - private

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1786579200/1786665600

https://backpack.tf/item/11198072581

Untraceable/Bulk

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013100259#!/compare/1776643200/1784937600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1784851200/1784937600

https://backpack.tf/item/3939048044

Backpack buy

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298631671#!/compare/1778976000/1779667200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1778976000/1779753600

https://backpack.tf/item/8422877275

Backpack buy

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198699695327#!/compare/1782691200/1782777600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1782691200/1782777600

https://backpack.tf/item/8524734180

Untraceable/Bulk, likely fenced

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057285337#!/compare/1783555200/1783641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199400081137#!/compare/1783555200/1783641600

https://backpack.tf/item/8524734180

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107339012#!/compare/1780704000/1786147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199053151145#!/compare/1780704000/1780790400

https://backpack.tf/item/10925958885

Untraceable/Bulk

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199053151145#!/compare/1780876800/1780963200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087760859#!/compare/1780876800/1780963200

https://backpack.tf/item/10925958885

Bulk for keys, probably gambled

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087760859#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177197071#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000

https://backpack.tf/item/10925958885

Most likely gambled

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177197071#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986667382#!/compare/1761177600/1781136000

https://backpack.tf/item/10925958885

Likely gambled

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986667382#!/compare/1781222400/1781481600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231600632#!/compare/1781222400/1781308800

https://backpack.tf/item/10925958885

Likely gambled

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231600632#!/compare/1784937600/1785801600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199531944#!/compare/1785369600/1785456000

https://backpack.tf/item/10925958885

Would appear to be their bot. Bot transfer.

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1783987200/1784073600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1784073600/1784160000

https://backpack.tf/item/12050378423

Untraceable, missing info in history

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1784160000/1784246400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1784160000/1784246400

https://backpack.tf/item/12050378423

Sold for 8 keys + Deepsear Rave Zoomin’ Broom + Kill-a-Watt Hard Counter + Skill Gotten Gains Most Wanted.

Even if this is correct, we’d need a B/O, because knowing STN, their B/O would’ve been much, much lower. Even if we had a B/O, the buyer re-sold back to STN, invalidating the sale.

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1784505600/1784592000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1784505600/1784592000

https://backpack.tf/item/12050378423

Re-sold in bulk? Back to STN.

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054601655#!/compare/1785888000/1785974400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1785888000/1785974400

https://backpack.tf/item/12050378423

Bulk for Aurora Australis Kazotsky Kick

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198389804189#!/compare/1781222400/1781568000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199620978880#!/compare/1781568000/1781654400

https://backpack.tf/item/12146404955

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/9694133166 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/15725532760 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/3903218373 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/3903223992 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/8398511315 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/10781251889 - unusualified/mannco

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/6NO4U7g.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12050378423 - 23 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15345481348 - 23 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6962263486 - ~26.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3946008847 - 27 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7635597603 - 27 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3003

https://backpack.tf/item/8422877275 - $39.69 (~21 keys with current key rates)

https://backpack.tf/item/3939048044 - $39.69

https://backpack.tf/item/11002489887 - $46.56

https://backpack.tf/item/14291253588 - $46.56

https://backpack.tf/item/16395956308 - $55.55

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Kazotsky%20Kick?appid=440&q=grail

https://i.imgur.com/Tt1fdAk.png

$77.62 AUD

$78.21 AUD

$92.19 AUD

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

https://i.imgur.com/weBEf4B.png

Keys are ~$3.18 AUD

77.62/3.18 = ~24

Sales at:

14

17 (2x)

18 (2x)

20 (4x, marketplace)

https://i.imgur.com/FRsJh6A.png - 1 buyer at 17, many buyers at ~16. Excluding 14.

We have a decent amount of bot dumps that support the inclusion of 17, and that lone buyer at 17 wouldn’t be enough to counter the 2 sales at 17 that we already have anyway.

Taking 17-20 keys.