Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/1429103242

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009923735#!/compare/1781827200/1781913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960802971#!/compare/1781827200/1781913600

Looks like it sold alongside 300 keys for the Anti-Freeze Swagman's Swatter, bulk better used there

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960802971#!/compare/1783123200/1783209600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062074818#!/compare/1783123200/1783209600

Sold for 410 keys

Sales:

410

Sellers and buyers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/LZyICjY Seller at 500 keys (3 months), buyers up to 280 keys

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/393;5;u33 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/393;5;u33;strange Nothing

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Orbiting+Fire+Villain%27s+Veil Buy order at ~242 keys

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Villain%27s%20Veil?appid=440&q=Orbiting+Fire https://imgur.com/It8008z https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Unusual%20Villain's%20Veil?appid=440&q=Orbiting+Fire https://imgur.com/93g1smY No sellers

Going with 410 keys (the sale was for a Strange one but the Veil has a Strangifier and the previous suggestion was based on a Strange sale too)