Suggestion: Sunbeams Hawaiian Hunter at 45–50 keys

Looks like the Pyroland Nightmare Tundra Top with 2 keys (seller's compare) and 39 ref (buyer's compare), the Tundra Top doesn't seem to have other usable sales and the buyer redumped it anyway so

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287738105#!/compare/1782777600/1782864000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1782777600/1782864000

Dumped to Quicksell.Store in bulk for keys

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1784851200/1784937600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012577302#!/compare/1784419200/1784937600

Sold for 51 keys

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012577302#!/compare/1784937600/1785369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1785283200/1785369600

Dumped back to Quicksell.Store in bulk for keys

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1785456000/1785542400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149081920#!/compare/1785456000/1785888000

Untrace

Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149081920#!/compare/1785888000/1786233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095378608#!/compare/1785801600/1785888000

Untrace

Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095378608#!/compare/1787011200/1787097600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1787011200/1787097600

Dumped to a bot for ~45 keys

Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/11935271184

Sale 13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380634252#!/compare/1781136000/1781222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085806375#!/compare/1781136000/1781222400

Untrace

Sale 14:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085806375#!/compare/1781222400/1781308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1781136000/1781222400

Bot dump, 3 keys match

Sale 15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1782604800/1782691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199498428714#!/compare/1782604800/1782691200

Untrace

Sale 16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199498428714#!/compare/1782604800/1782691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1782604800/1782691200

Untrace

Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/11980327171

Sale 17:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051159272#!/compare/1781308800/1781395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040817545#!/compare/1781308800/1781395200

Sold for the Blizzardy Storm Mann of the Hour, Strange Professional Killstreak Scattergun and 9 keys

Scattergun mini: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Scattergun&at=2026-06-13T08:13:20.123Z

1 @ 47 keys

1 @ 45 keys

1 @ 43 keys

1 @ 38 keys

1 @ 36 keys

1 @ 34 keys

1 @ 30 keys

1 @ 28 keys

1 @ 26 keys 30 ref

1 @ 25 keys 38.66 ref

1 @ 25 keys 34.55 ref

1 @ 25 keys 33.77 ref

2 @ 25 keys 33.72 ref

1 @ 25 keys 32 ref

1 @ 25 keys 27.72 ref

1 @ 25 keys 7.66 ref

1 @ 25 keys 4.55 ref

1 @ 25 keys 3.11 ref

Buys:

6 @ 25 keys 33.66 ref

3 @ 25 keys 26.55 ref

1 @ 25 keys 25.55 ref

2 @ 25 keys 24.88 ref

2 @ 25 keys 24.55 ref

1 @ 25 keys 21.44 ref

2 @ 25 keys 20.44 ref

1 @ 25 keys 16.44 ref

1 @ 25 keys 15.33 ref

1 @ 25 keys 13.77 ref

1 @ 25 keys 1.66 ref

1 @ 24 keys 52.77 ref

1 @ 24 keys 52.33 ref

2 @ 24 keys 51.55 ref

1 @ 24 keys 51.33 ref

1 @ 24 keys 50.77 ref

1 @ 24 keys 50.66 ref

1 @ 24 keys 49.33 ref

1 @ 24 keys 48 ref

1 @ 24 keys 47.66 ref

3 @ 24 keys 47.33 ref

1 @ 24 keys 45.11 ref

1 @ 24 keys 30.11 ref

1 @ 24 keys 21.33 ref

1 @ 24 keys 20.33 ref

1 @ 24 keys 20 ref

Gonna use 24-26 keys (median value of 25), the other sales seem to be outliers

Blizzardy Storm Mann of the Hour mini (12-19 keys, median of 15.5) : https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6a14fd146f3e30fde906e501 (suggestion was made 4 months ago but the sale itself is nearly 3 months old so should be fine to use)

25+15.5+9=49.5 ~50 keys, buout was 56 https://archivist.tf/history?item=Sunbeams%20Hawaiian%20Hunter&at=2026-06-13

Sale 18:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040817545#!/compare/1785110400/1785196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850407517#!/compare/1785024000/1785110400

Sold for the Ignited Crest Hawaiian Hunter, using there

Sale 19:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850407517#!/compare/1788048000/1788134400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094731874#!/compare/1786147200/1788134400

Sold alongside 500 keys for the Floral Growth Necroprancer (bulk)

Sale 20:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094731874#!/compare/1788134400/1788220800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389133702#!/compare/1788134400/1788220800

Dumped to a bot, 43.11 ref matches but Gladiator.tf indicates it was 43 keys 43.11 ref

Sale 21:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389133702#!/compare/1788134400/1788220800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198728119792#!/compare/1788134400/1788220800

Bot to bot? Then listed on MPTF

Item 9: https://backpack.tf/item/11931377326

Sale 22:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070508765#!/compare/1782345600/1783641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1782345600/1782259200

Dumped to STN, 18 keys 7 ref match

Sale 23:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1784937600/1785024000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1784937600/1785024000

Untrace

Item 10: https://backpack.tf/item/11928023227

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380634252#!/compare/1782777600/1782950400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1782864000/1782950400

Bot to owner then dumped to a bot, the 135 items (keys and ref) match but it feels high alone so I assume more was involved

Gladiator.tf: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Sunbeams%20Hawaiian%20Hunter&at=2026-09-09T07:41:56.165Z

Buys:

43 keys 50.44 ref @ 01/09/2026 06:37 ~44 keys

43 keys 43.11 ref @ 01/09/2026 02:36 ~44 keys

50 keys 14.77 ref @ 07/07/2026 04:47 ~50 keys

50 keys 14.77 ref @ 06/07/2026 19:51 ~50 keys

50 keys 14.77 ref @ 02/07/2026 17:22 ~50 keys

45 keys @ 29/06/2026 02:22

46 keys 0.44 ref @ 26/06/2026 05:43 ~46 keys

44 and 50 are fine to include since there are 3 sales at those values, there's a traceable sale at 45 keys too. 46 however won't be usable

Sales:

44 (x3), 45, 50 (x4), 51

Sellers and buyers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/undefined Sellers at 51 keys, buyers up to 46.09 keys

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31271;5;u17 Sellers at $97.99 (~52 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Sunbeams+Hawaiian+Hunter Buy order at ~46 keys

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Hawaiian%20Hunter?appid=440&q=Sunbeams https://imgur.com/GaH9wEO No sellers

51 resold for less so that sale isn't usable, in theory 44 is a common enough trading point to include but given the fact buyers are at 46, I feel like that's too low. There's no traceable sale at 46 keys so 45 will have to do for the low end I guess.

Going with 45-50 keys