Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10535778467

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697394581#!/compare/1787961600/1788048000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353037792#!/compare/1787961600/1788048000

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Ardentum%20Saturnalis%20Panisher&at=2026-08-29

48 keys match, buyout was 48 keys 30 ref but if the refined was traceable the sale would round down to 48 anyway

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10333532134

Quicksell.Store transfers

Sales:

48

Sellers and buyers:

BPTF - https://archivist.tf/history?item=Ardentum+Saturnalis+Panisher&at=2026-09-24 Seller at ~48 keys, buyers up to 18 keys (some have disappeared since the snapshot was made)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31199;5;u181 Nothing

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Ardentum+Saturnalis+Panisher Buy order at ~12 keys

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Panisher?appid=440&q=Ardentum+Saturnalis https://imgur.com/qD8wadO No sellers, buyers up to 34.69€ (~17 keys)

Going with 48 keys