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you should post the others. You buying one isn't really proof, since you could have just paid too much
other than you, only 1 on OP. downvote here as the other one has not received anything good.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8075496 - Within a day, an offer of 2 buds that escalates to 2.3. No less than three different users all over it in that short time period, the suggester who bowed out after offering 2 and two others that were both very quickly willing to do 2.3.
Don't see why anyone would ever need to sell for less than 2 on this hat, even as a quicksell. 2.5 certainly doesn't seem out of the question, when an unusual can reach 2.3 from two separate users that quickly.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8087594 sold it to beam for 2.3 + sweets.
I checked the history of the buds and keys and items in OP's inventory.
2.5 is definatly not out of the question. I wouldnt close this just becuase the high end is .2 off and when the hat gets so many good pure offers in a short amount of time.