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Rarity:
in the wild:5 (2dupes at least)
http://backpack.tf/unusuals/378/Team_Captain
Here are some highlights of offers/sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7400881 (1 week)
-moon jefe and a beams tc (at least) ~25+50 = ~70
(According to this trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7847396 the final price was Beams TC + Moon Jefe + Beams Sparta + Max = ~78)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6990759 (1 month)
-Burning Samur Eye + Harvest Bicorne + Secret to Everybody Ballcap OR 80 buds/2400 USD
-secret moon bonk boy + 40 buds (~70)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5684076 (2 months ago)
Sold for:
-Scorching Killer Exclusive + Sunbeams Bonk Boy + 20 pure
(This was about 40+15+20 = 85 back then. more now b.c the KE has gone up)
So that should be enough to justify this range. Feel free to research on your own, it's kind of interesting b/c of all the scammers in the water...but I feel slimy now. Imma gwanna go take a shower.
Virus offered burning modest+burning veil+ a 40 buds unusual but I guess the owner prefer Mattie offer
The 1 month old trade is for a cloudy one.
Snap. You're right! When you go searching through closed trades it's easy to mess that up. Guess i didn't expect him to have owned a secret TC and a cloudy one in the past as well. Whoops, thanks! Still plenty of other evidence though and secret > cloudy in just about every case anyway.
Disregard the 1 month old trade!!!!!!
Yeah Jester! What are you trying to pull!
Just kidding. I didn't notice that either.
This seems like a good range for a great hat!