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2 month old price, 32 in the wild, like 10 or 11 on outpost atm.
http://backpack.tf/unusuals/600/Your_Worst_Nightmare for reference
Trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9337959 - b/o 2 buds
No offers yet
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9223612
-Flies yellow belt (~2.8(!))
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8902760 - b/o 2 buds
-1 bud, an Indubitably Green BMOC, and 3 keys (~1.6)
-Stormy Storm Marauder (~1.7)
-Smoking triboniophorus tyrannus (~1.3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8776452
-Stormy storm Snaggletooth (~1.8)
-Stormy Storm Marauder (~1.7)
-1 bud + 12 keys
So with 2 that have 2 bud b/os and multiple refused offers in the 1.5-1.7 range, it looks like this range (1.7-2 buds) is reasonable and fair to buyers and sellers.