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Circling TF Logo Big Elfin Deal!
6 month price. 1 of 1 Proof in comments!
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9282329 - Seems to have sold for a Stormy Billycock (1.6 buds) [Offer Value: 1.4 buds] http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440/1517991920
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9347973 - Seems to have been quicksold for 34 keys (1.3 buds)
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7877284 - Seems to have sold for a Bubbling Le Party Phantom (1.9 buds) [Offer Value: 1.7 buds] http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440/1514453679
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1 of 1. 1.4-1.9 seems to be a reasonable price for this.
P.S. I was going to close the other one, but Sir John closed it himself saying it was too high (It was only .2 and as admins say .5 off in an unusual doesn't really matter....)
link 1 b/o is stormy noir -- 1.1 buds, if he sold for billycock is there proof that he may have added sweets?
Your last link is incorrect.
Actual trade:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9068719 - this hat + BMOC (13 keys) + bubbling phantom (1.7-2.1) for scorching big elfin deal (3.6-3.9). That would make this hat around 1.4, and thus there is no justification for the high end.
RIP voting accuracy