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This is my second time doing price checks so please bear with me.
All prices estimated are based on the most recent backpack.tf prices and overpay in unusuals are already factored in the calculations.
I had one of these, and it was really hard trying to sell it due to low demand and high supply.
Eventually sold it for stormy beak (~3.1) + 3 Buds + BMOC (~0.4) = 6.5
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9187030[/url]
Here are the other trades:
Link 1
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9934068[/url]
•1 day old
B/O not set.
Notable offer(s): Misty skull yellow belt (5.4) by Teasp00n mix\merc
Link 2
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9775771[/url]
•1 week old
B/O: 7.5
Notable offer(s):
Burning Ol Snaggletooth (5.4) by groovypanda
Burning Big Elfin Deal (5.6) by Usurper_King
Link 3
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9667004[/url]
•1 week old
B/O: 10 :/
Notable offer(s):
7 + max head = 9 by tartaruga ninja roxa but retracted (So not taking this into consideration)
Beams Pith (2.8) + Robo Sandvich (4.5) + clean juju (0.8) ~ 8.1 by Nova #anyone want poker night 1 but retracted.
Misty Skull Drill's Hat (6) by 'Popazz
Cloudy Moon Jeepcap (5.4) + Searing Plasma Mongolian (0.6) = 6 by [UBI] f1y!n9 m@(h!n3
Link 4
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9492440[/url]
•2 weeks old
B/O: 7
Notable offer(s): Ghost Bubble Pipe (5.6) by -|LoS|- Sir. Quackums
link 1 bought a stormy blighted beak + 3 buds + bmoc -- 6.7-7.2 buds, 5.6 buds seems quite low
That's because I believe that's the highest price a blizz TC can get. I also factored in overpal in unusuals and so it should be lower in value
taking in unusual overpay it would be 6.7 buds then, and your link 2 is a really young trade but still got an offer of the misty skull yellow belt -- 6.2-7.8, taking in unusual overpay, 6.3 buds
Why are your values so high? D: I took the avg price of the beak from backpack.tf and multiply by 0.9 (Advised by some of the people here when I was doing my first price check). And the range of 6.2-7.8 is outdated, the price of the belt just got updated to 5.3-6.2. Check it out on backpack.tf again
average price of beak is 3.5*9 -- 3.2, + 3, + .4 = 6.6 buds, still more than your suggestion. And actually 6.2-7.8 is still the current price, 5.3-6.2 was just a suggestion, but it was closed.
Really? http://backpack.tf/vote/id/513ebf324bd7b83341000004 didn't it receive an unanimous response from the people?
did you read ~(>_<。)~shenanigans comment?
Okay so if we take 6.2-7.8 into consideration, the average price will be 7 and so when overpay in unusuals is factored in, it will be around 6.3 and it still fits into my range. That's the highest offer for all blizz TCs on the market.
yeah i stated that in my previous comment.
and you are forgetting about the stormy beak + 3 buds + bmoc -- 6.6 buds which is not in your range
Well I lowered the 6.6 to 6.4 as I think the offer of stormy beak is more of an outlier as I offered my TC for his stuff, not the other way round. Besides, almost all offers are within my range
still though, 5.6 buds seems a bit low
unusual overpay is not something we can consider as logic cause both are unusuals..
unusual overpey is buying pure or promo like max or bills paying mire with unusual hats ..
Dude, have you ever been to the unusual market? I don't think so as I don't see any unusuals in your backpack D: Unusual overpay is still factored in EVEN if both are unusuals.
Sold for ~6.5 , offer ~8.1 in unusual , why price 5.6-6.4 ? NO
Not offers, but only one offer of ~8.1 :/ And he retracted because he must have realised that he offered too much.
He refused for the reason that had not sold a hat ( it does not matter-the offer was)
Looks rather like you're dropping based on best offers on young trades, which isn't a particularly good way to go. Your oldest is 2 weeks, and it's a non-autobump trade that is openly refusing all offers but listed price.
Sorry, I just thought I should list those recent offers as those offers posted a month ago shouldn't be taken into consideration anymore as they are outdated? All the offers posted after that fall into my range of 5.8-6.5+
Unusuals don't typically change value that quickly, and unusuals take time to sell. Month old offers and trades are still very much relevent information.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9995429
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10015216 sold for storm modest + 2 [~6.6-6.7 pure]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9721316
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9993660 paid these two for it [~6.3 or less pure]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9531063 appears to have sold for over 6 since 6 was rejected BUT...
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198017284265?time=1364454000
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198017284265?time=1364454000
Only 5 buds changed hands BUT REST MIGHT HAVE BEEN IN CASH!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/55093 - sold 1:1 with stormy KE? (~6.5 pure but might be a bit high)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9601875 - 8 bud sale (way too much)