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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12897062 sold for Unusual Jumper's Jeepcap peace sign+Unusual Waxy Wayfinder stormy storm 1.2 + 1.2 = 2.4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12780566 this is the trade of the buyer check the history of the hats both went to the pom-pommed owner
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12940247 not sold
not using overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12758576 not sold
not using overpay cause he have made a 2:1 trade instead in this case i use the low end of both hats
the 2 is unsold but has a bunch of cancer effect at nice hats as offers
anywhere between 2.5-3 buds it is 1 of my favorite effect as well but at the same level with kill a watt i often find them lower than expexted
the only reason the guy sold it cheap was because he liked the hats and it was a profit for him. Wait for more to sell before making a suggestion.
i think you are right