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4 month old price, 2 on outpost
SELLING:
1 month old - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14065376
Unusual offers: Peace Pickelhaube (1 bud), Steaming Shooter + 8 keys~ (1-1.1 bud)
Also 12 keys +3~ keys in items
1 week old - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14578458
No offers
SOLD:
1 month ago - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13957505
16 keys
1 week ago - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14548217
22 keys
2 months ago - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13096947
17 keys
Conclusion: Based on solds the range should be 16-22 keys, the selling shows that offers fall within the low side of the range (excluding overpay)
Even 16 seemed like a quickie. Not sure if the 22 keys one sold for b/o, but other offers around that show thats a reasonable high end.