So you're telling me that you're setting your low end off of the previous overpriced price. (with buds falling)

There are a few more sales to go by. First, for rare hats like this, 2 month old sales aren't too old. So what you bought and sold for will still be relevant here. Your tc sale might be reasonable to set the low end. But it would be helpful if you shared what you sold it for as another data point. Then maybe this last sale to set the high end at ~5.5 based on original prices.