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Proof below.
10 month-old price. Only 1 sale this month, this previous sale was 3 months ago in a set. Others haven't sold in years (according to woifi)
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15475434
-sold for 5 buds like he wanted
-offer of 4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12308642
-was in a white energy set
-cosa+ge phantom (6.25)+white g. dcc (0.24) sold for burning cowl (10.4)+eerie fez (3.2)
-~7.1 buds, too high probably because in a set
Current trade:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15897080
-offer of disco firewall which is unpriced (miami is 4.4 after overpay, disco>miami usually)
Notable trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15258826 (another hat)
-notable offers:
HH+2 buds (4.1)
roboactive base metal billycock (a.f. is ~4 after overpay)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14955378 (same hat)
-notable offers:
pe hot dogger+0.5 bud sweets (~4.1)
pe spartan (4)
Only 1 recent sale, the last was in a set so inaccurate value. One may argue the 5 bud sale was from the unboxer but that's the only valid sale we have. Unusual overpay and original prices used.
The 5 bud seller most likely didn't unbox it, as the original IDs don't match up