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Last suggestion used only one sale that wasn't even priced properly for the low end.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17060857
Sold for a Bubbling Bubble Pipe, bubbling was offered on flies so ~3.4 - outlier.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17795864
Sold for 2.2 pure.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17880446
Sold for 2 buds pure, really quickly
http://i.imgur.com/03Rr8YO.png - sold for 2 pure.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16726844
Sold for 2 buds + ~4 keys worth of sweets
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198072806274?time=1389254400
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198072806274?time=1389340800
Most of those on the market are duped, although there is only one recent clean sale available (besides my qs purchase for 30 keys).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18135218 - was also offered 2.2 pure
Bubbling pipe is outdated, may not be an outlier.
Link 2 looks like it might've been sold on market, since outpost stopped tracking the history but it clearly left the pack. If so, we can't trust the seller's word on that, especially since SCM has so many extenuating circumstances.
Link 5 is incredibly old and has changed hands many times since then. Uncomfortable using such an old trade so far down the chain, although it does match other sales.
Last link doesn't have the pure anymore (spent it on a v Fan?), clearly no longer a valid offer.
Looks like 2 flat might be better--anything higher has some suspect circumstances
What? 1 month is incredibly old?
It is when it's duped (?) and has been through 10 owners in that one month.
Maybe outlier is the correct word?
Link 2 could've sold for pure to a user who doesn't have a Outpost account. Either it was sold elsewhere (bazaar, trade server) or the buyer browses Outpost but doesn't have an account. Either way, it's speculation.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17348515 - quicksold for 2 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17641990 - involved in multi-unusual deal
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17696919 - added a big kill and 6 keys to a flies modest ~2.7