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1 of 1 hat.
Look what I stumbled on:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/197103614
Sold for 12 pure
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198043827718?time=1393401600
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198043827718?time=1393488000
Previous sale was 4 months ago:
Burning Football + hellfire headwarmer (unpriced, but kind of doesn't matter)
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198043827718?time=1384502400
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198043827718?time=1384675200
TO ALL THE TROLLS:
Yes, I know that normally you need 2 sales, but this is a 1 of 1 hat. These types of hats are generally updated on a per sale basis. It makes zero sense not to price this hat now just because it doesn't have a previous price. You can't get any better proof than this and the next time it goes up (if ever) this sale will probably be "out of date" anyway.
16th
#30in30
So we're trolls now? You need 2 sales...
Downvote.
Doesn't matter if it's 1 of 1, needs 2 sales. Wait for another.
I'm going to say downvote because I can do a mini suggestion for the hellfire headwarmer (I sold it):
Scorching HW (10.5) + O. Fire HW (1.4) + Burning western (3.9) -> 15.8.
With the football that puts it at 17.8, or 16 after overpay and I'm pretty sure that 12-16 buds is too large of a range.
Burning western is really outdated. Also, were the scorching/burning clean?
I think so. Of those hats, 3/4 are outdated (since they're gen 1, I'd reckon they're going to go up, and o. fire probably the same).
It was more to show that a flat 12 wasn't a good range.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/
"Two sales are required to establish a range on all new hats / hats with new effects. If the two sales are discrepant, a third sale is required to determine the outlier. New effects include – 2013 summer, robo, and Halloween effects. For help on identifying outliers and discrepant sales, please refer to the complete guide or ask for help in the forums."
2 sales will be needed.