Suggestion: Mann Co. Supply Crate #1 at 2.66 ref

Price Suggestion

~5.13 keys

160 votes up

15 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Thu, 27 Mar 14 13:20:50 +0000 by A Delicious Cashew™.

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Comments

Buyers -

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18384458 - 3 for a key (little over 2.33 each)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18234095 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18725455 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18452274 - 2.33

Solds -

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17488334 - 2.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18506061 - 5ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18326679 - 5ref (sold out)

Sellers -

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7100562 - 2.66 offer (1month ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18782957 - 2.66 (1day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16763152 - 2.66 offer

2.33 = quickbuy price.

this is the only crate with a 1% chance at an unusual, the rest are .85%

source google.com

so im voting yes

Um? The wiki says that "The chances of uncrating an Unusual item are about one in one hundred and fifty, or 0.66%."

Source: http://wiki.teamfortress.com/wiki/Unusual#cite_note-1

Source's source: http://tf2finance.com/rate/

Yeah, that's a stupid source. It only factors public backpacks into account and dismisses the idea that most unusuals exist in private backpacks. That's just... stupid. I don't know any other way around it.

Now, as a trader, you probably have other traders on your friends' list, but I have a mix of traders and others and I can tell you that at least half of the unusuals that exist on my friends' list are owned by those with private backpacks. And I have over 100 friends and only a few of them have private backpacks. Add to that the fact that 2/5ths of backpacks are private and anyone with half a brain could tell you that those backpacks are more likely to contain unusuals than non-private backpacks and, well... those numbers are BS. Period.