Counter-Manipulation.

Oh, and counter the one who can't do overpay or minis, too.

SALES:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18686659 Sold for 1 bud 3 keys (~1.2)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2647340491,30035,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2455146877,143,6

(Credit to Bunnies)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095571506?time=1400482800 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095571506?time=1400569200

Sold for Smoking Outdoorsman (Outdated at 14 keys, mini at 12.5, =0.75 buds ) + Duped Miami Plug-in Prospector (Unpriced, mini at 1)

1.75 * 0.9 = 1.575 (rounding to 1.6)

Plug-in mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20533588 Offered + sweets (~0.3) on Aces Trencher's Topper (1.3)

No overpay, 1.3 - 0.3 = 1

Histories;

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2699491651,30336,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2340570261,30031,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20574851 Sold for a bud (1)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2340570261,30031,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2703780693,143,6

Outdoorsman mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18817616 Sold for 11 keys

B/Os of 14 still on the market... Using 11-14 keys. 11 could be an outlier, went pretty quick.

Let it ride.