Price Suggestion
Steaming Danger
Submitted by Civus
~35 keys
steaming
Unusual Danger Steaming
43 votes up
49 votes down
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Highly desirable Heisenberg's Cook hat. Dont inhale the fumes, Jesse.


I was an owner of the first one that dropped. Within a few days a second one dropped.


1. The Second dropped hat last sold for 3 buds + 8 taunts on the 26th of June

Hat in bp (June 25): http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013747456?time=1403679600

Sold (June 26): http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013747456?time=1403766000

(at the very bottom of the bp you can see 3 buds + 8 taunts all from DrRocko.)


DrRocko offered me 3 buds + 7 taunts as well: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20637448#latest


So im Assuming DrRocko was persuaded to give up 1 more taunt.


Total Value of the 8 taunts: approx. 3.5-4 Keys (30-33 ref).


[/b]So the this hat was sold for approximately 3.25 buds.[/b]


2. My hat just sold on the market

Price + Fees: $189.99 USD


PROOF: http://i.imgur.com/VIE2mlP.png


How many keys is that? First lets see how much you can get keys on the market for: http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

Key price are summer sale prices: $2.27 per

Im going to round up to 2.30 to be very conservative for current market price of keys.


Im using the price+fees to valuate this because he could of added me and offered this amount of keys instead of cash. He would be paying the same price, but no fees would be involved. Thus I would of received more; and it would be the same price for him either way.


so how many keys is $189.99?

189.99 / 2.30 = 82.6 Keys


Whether he purchased it for $189.99 or offered me 82.6 keys from the market, it would of cost him the same.


how many buds is 82.6 keys?

82.6 / 16 = 5.16 buds


The buyer who bought my Danger paid the equivalent of 5.16 Buds in cash. Part of which (15%) was paid to steam as fees. While im sure the buyer would of liked to pay less, he chose to pay 15% more in fees rather than offer me a deal in keys for less.


Additional Offers:

I was the only seller who collected offers for over 24 hours.

Heres my post: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20637448#p56604234


Some of my offers I considered were:

Hearts Noir - Approx. 3.5 Buds

Miami Nights Hive Minder - approx. 3.5 Buds

Bubbling TC - approx 3.5-3.75 Buds

Hearts Hound Dog + 12 Keys: Approx. 3.75 buds

Crossed out suggestions. We should be concerned about the final agreement when the trade took place. I was never really interested in those offers in the first place.


CONCLUSION

Now my suggestion may not be an exact price that tells you EXACTLY what to buy it for (so that you can resell it for the same). LOL. But this price range , I feel, is accurate for the data available. I think it gives a fair range of what people are willing to pay and what they actually ended up paying.


If anything, however, it may not be enough proof. I only made this suggestion to prove the other guys price suggestion as incorrect.


    A problem in your workings. You claim that he was willing to pay 15% fees to get that hat but the main point is you are receiving 161.49 (Therefore your value of the hat)

    How many keys is $161.49 in keys? 2.30 $ to the key

    70 keys

    In buds? 16.25 keys to the bud

    Which is 4.3 buds

    Which is above my suggestion, which has 3.5 buds as a maximum, but the value of this is closer to my suggestion that it is to yours. And as it was a steam market trade the pricing can vary in consistency (not legitimate proof)

    lul I insta-downvoted for some reason.

    Steam Market sales aren't usable as valid proof as far as I know, and imo that would be an outlier considering the range.

      You are right about scm. So, Downvote,

        Its not what the resellers offer. Its what the last agreements between buyers and sellers were. The actual final trades are what matters for pricing,

      i like the proof, upvote

        Range is quite wide for a hat this low in value, almost 2 bud difference from a close 3 bud low end. Given all the offers you have (Some being outdated) are still normal value without overpay calculated putting them all around the low end value or lower, makes 5 look like an outlier.

            how do you say "a hat this low in value"? Not all low-tier hats automatically make them worthless. People want this for the theme novelty value here.


            its sad how people can say that 1.5 buds is such a rediculous price range when its a true range based on 2 trades.

              You need two sales Mr. Civus, not 1 sale and an SCM Sale.

                Woodenhouse: "SCM Sale"

                  Steam Community Market sales are not valid proof. It is clearly stated in the rules.

            As stated many times. SCM sales don't count. Also, why leave that amount of space at the end. It frustrates the living hell out of me for some reason.

              Do what you must.. But at the end of the day.. I got 73 keys for it.


              I dont know why a site wouldnt use SCM prices to price something but at the same time pull SCM prices automatically on the site to price other things.