Suggestion: Circling Heart Brotherhood of Arms at 340–382.5 keys

Price Suggestion

~93 keys

heart

61 votes up

16 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sat, 13 Sep 14 00:47:11 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

TIME FOR AN UPDATED PRICE!

Sale 1 -

I Bought for $150usd (4.28 buds @$35 Each) + Sunbeams Rack(16*0.9=14.1) + 1 bud = 19.7 Buds - Rounding to 20

http://puu.sh/bmk4o/24941b45ef.JPG

http://puu.sh/bmk58/0a396de26e.JPG

Sale 2 -

Sold for HOUWAR + Max Head (3.3) + 2 Buds + Ghosts Fedora (~7.5*.9=6.75) + 5 keys = 22.3 - Rounding to 22.5

http://puu.sh/bmkmq/0fbcddee02.JPG

Sale 3 -

If someone could help me out with the bp.tf?times on backpacks would be greatly appreciated...

I saw the new items on op but missed the chance to screenshot, don't believe anything else was exchanged.

Please correct me if you know otherwise, yet the two sales above should be enough.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22339961 - Before

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22428185 - After

Sold for a PE Ninja Hood (~24*.9=21.6) - ALSO FALLS WITHIN THE RANGE

Previous suggestion was a month ago using sales from a month Before that.

These sales are more recent and up to date.

Could you possibly find the outpost trades associated with the houwar and max and euphoric fedora sale? If there was one. and hey i just had that houwar not even 3 hours ago he traded it already ;~;

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21833029 - #1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21906898 - #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22423515 - #3 - sold for pe ninja + 5 pure (you can even see it on the history of the first 5 buds, offered, no overpay)

So that last sale is actually 26.5.

20-26.5 seems pretty big for a range, we could conclude it's an outlier?

Well last suggestion is not that old with sales around that range. Sure newer sales take priority but yeah I wont be surprised if another sale >25 happens.

Btw it was ra veil + 2 buds in the last suggestion iirc, missed it. :P

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22069041 - It was discussed here but i cant see the buds changing hands. I saw the new items in inventory (before they are accepted in game and it was only the ninja) EDIT: Why i asked someone to provide the?times - I'm not familliar with how to set a specific time.

Outpost history shows burger as next owner of the first 5 buds I linked. Since he asked for 5 it's pretty clear that he didnt add more.

Nonono, i dont think he payed more i dont see the buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21106392 - Here BoA Was offered on Lantern Exe 27*.9=~24

The prices are very scattered.

I understand they are scattered, but they are gradually coming down the trend shows it getting lower and lower. If you could suggest a better price range suggestion i can re-suggest but i dont think the current is accurate.

He was selling buds for money at that time so that could have happened.

But yeah outpost tracked them:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2935287536,143,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2935287543,143,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2935287554,143,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2935287549,143,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2935287567,143,6

Just asked him, yup he did buy them for cash. :D

UPDATE - Another sale Hearts Mancer, Peace Modest, Beams Chieftians, Vivid Rack. It appears (9.8+3.5+6+7*.9)=23.76

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22440913 - Offer was here

Taking away the original #1 sale as an outlier would a new suggestion at 22.5-24 Be a better range?

http://puu.sh/bmm9c/6866a806f4.png

See the 'history' tab? From there you can view the backpack you're in at specific times :P

I find your comment offensive towards the brony community, saying euphoric towards a beautiful hat doesn't make you sound cool punk, I'm sorry but I'm tired of these brony haters!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thanks for the suggestion, Sir Alterrr! I was going to create my own but I figured I'd reply with some new information since there's an interesting pricing discrepancy between the two existing BoAs.

To start, Woifilicious was correct in predicting that another sale >25 would occur. That was my purchase from Dave, which consisted of my Hearts Bomber (16) + $600 (equivalent to 17 Buds):

Screen of agreement: http://i.imgur.com/r6UlZG6.jpg

Trade history: http://i.imgur.com/SV9jyPX.png, http://i.imgur.com/oWRJZj2.png

Paypal transaction: http://i.imgur.com/f5onedQ.jpg (names blotted for confidentiality)

There was also an offer of a Scorching Samur-Eye (around 28 Buds) on the BoA in the thread: http://i.imgur.com/YIItRj3.jpg, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22269563

Woifilicious was also correct in his post that the other BoA sold for 24 (Hood) +5=(29) (as can be seen from his 5 links showing the bud history)

That brings me to a few points:

1) Considering there was an offer of 28 (the Samur-Eye), the sale of the BoA for the Hood (24+5), and my recent purchase (~33), the new suggestion for 20-22.5 seems a bit low. The problem lies in the fact that both BoAs were sold separately without pricing knowledge of the other, and one followed the backpack.tf price closely while the other was a deep fluctuation over the course of a few trades.

2) The end results would show that there were sales for 29 and 33 on one end, and Alterr's report of 20 and 22.5.

Conclusion: I would suggest no price change at the moment to see how further trades pan out. Or, a midway point between the low and high end (21 and 31) could be reached for an average of 26, but that is quite the large range and may be infeasible.

Thanks for your time in reading this. Let me know what you guys think!